Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cb61a127c8338264cbef0c695e302bfb4cd5d74e1d7f915bb8520e6bb18a6c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bublikof Bublik, Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Halys | 43c | 5,367$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.19 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Bublik | 63c | 4,268$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.41 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…ffe8backed Halys | 43c | 2,350$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 117 | 54.7%64 W · 53 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Halys | 36c | 1,819$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.84 | 1,143 | 41.3%472 W · 671 L | +23.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…ddd3backed Bublik | 64c | 1,629$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.83 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bublik | 53c | 1,490$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.57 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61f…2c30backed Bublik | 58c | 1,105$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.04 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.42per pick | 47cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Bublik | 53c | 1,055$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.89 | 2,821 | 39.5%1,113 W · 1,708 L | -82.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Halys | 36c | 1,046$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.34 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed Halys | 48c | 893.46$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.86 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bublik | 60c | 800$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Bublik | 57c | 675.44$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.44 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Halys | 38c | 649.08$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.68 | 219 | 33.8%74 W · 145 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Halys | 37c | 595.59$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.37 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Halys | 41c | 483.78$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 1,563 | 40%625 W · 938 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bublik | 56c | 423$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.12 | 4,584 | 48.3%2,215 W · 2,369 L | +35.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Halys | 38c | 395.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bublik | 55c | 323.27$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Bublik | 53c | 234.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 959 | 35.5%340 W · 619 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2c…b707backed Bublik | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 111 | 26.1%29 W · 82 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Bublik | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x701c…b953backed Bublik | 49c | 182$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.82 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Halys | 37c | 176.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.24 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0418…8159backed Halys | 44c | 151.82$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bublik | 60c | 131.89$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Bublik | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bublik | 63c | 88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Halys | 47c | 86.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Halys | 38c | 81.05$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Bublik | 62c | 81.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Bublik | 65c | 67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Halys | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…328fbacked Bublik | 50c | 58.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…f80ebacked Bublik | 60c | 50.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Halys | 41c | 43.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Bublik | 49c | 43.02$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Halys | 39c | 34.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Bublik | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820d…2236backed Halys | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bublik | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bublik | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Bublik vs Halysthis page
- Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Bublik vs HalysHalys won
- Set Handicap: Bublik (-1.5) vs Halys (+1.5)Halys won
- Set Handicap: Halys (-1.5) vs Bublik (+1.5)Bublik won
- Swiss Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin HalysQuentin Halys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.