TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Indiana Feverof Indiana Fever, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$260,025
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,220

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,025 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Los Angeles Sparks1c50,470$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5110923.9%26 W · 83 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Sparks27c19,675$5,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,295.9599548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked Los Angeles Sparks33c18,000$5,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,939.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Sparks30c15,926$4,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,833.522748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks21c10,243$2,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,179.161,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bc4…4730backed Indiana Fever60c8,279$4,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,345.13475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Los Angeles Sparks0c6,515$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1544915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Los Angeles Sparks25c6,398$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.542030%6 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Indiana Fever51c5,672$2,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9723245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Indiana Fever74c5,521$4,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,441.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fc3…c9e7backed Los Angeles Sparks48c5,173$2,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,457.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc55…dd71backed Indiana Fever52c5,173$2,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.58475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+55.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Los Angeles Sparks7c3,823$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Sparks20c3,300$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.0337850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…09a5backed Los Angeles Sparks19c2,800$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.971643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+57%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Sparks16c2,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks20c2,176$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.441,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Los Angeles Sparks47c2,131$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.8814060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Indiana Fever67c2,065$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681.3715346.4%71 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fd…f43ebacked Indiana Fever77c1,901$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Indiana Fever58c1,795$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.3355255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Indiana Fever50c1,604$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.475862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Los Angeles Sparks42c1,518$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.692552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Indiana Fever66c1,482$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.5836750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Los Angeles Sparks50c1,372$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68636154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Sparks43c1,331$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7685158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Los Angeles Sparks13c1,225$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1824852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9f…f6a3backed Indiana Fever51c1,155$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.849354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Indiana Fever52c1,146$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…c02abacked Los Angeles Sparks6c1,101$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.09650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+61.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Los Angeles Sparks44c1,014$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.112745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Los Angeles Sparks44c1,000$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.049129.7%27 W · 64 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Sparks17c983.5$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Los Angeles Sparks48c902.53$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.37per pick53cpaid-65.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x226b…bb68backed Los Angeles Sparks4c745.68$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.87395.1%2 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Indiana Fever65c700$452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.9616152.2%84 W · 77 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed Los Angeles Sparks26c668.64$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.927050%35 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Indiana Fever50c663.51$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.764535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Los Angeles Sparks9c658.98$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3131043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Los Angeles Sparks34c613.81$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.5213358.6%78 W · 55 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Los Angeles Sparks49c599.99$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29613745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Los Angeles Sparks38c548.77$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.86051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Indiana Fever54c537.99$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.485660.7%34 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Los Angeles Sparks4c529.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x24b9…f36ebacked Indiana Fever55c520.32$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.561850%9 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Los Angeles Sparks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22510548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Indiana Fever54c499.83$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.463030%9 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Indiana Fever51c488.93$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.38per pick35cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Indiana Fever65c460$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2415250.7%77 W · 75 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52d…412dbacked Indiana Fever71c423.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.31250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Los Angeles Sparks23c420.38$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.446237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Los Angeles Sparks48c415.07$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Indiana Fever67c412.48$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.149743.3%42 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1626…9e8dbacked Los Angeles Sparks4c339.89$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Los Angeles Sparks24c313.09$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.6936454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Indiana Fever67c312.73$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.25250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Indiana Fever55c305$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.252857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Los Angeles Sparks21c300.92$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.54148.8%20 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+23.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Los Angeles Sparks15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Los Angeles Sparks15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x845a…37acbacked Los Angeles Sparks15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Los Angeles Sparks19c253.77$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.261450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Indiana Fever51c252.94$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Indiana Fever53c235.85$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.852853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Los Angeles Sparks12c234.66$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.4wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Indiana Fever52c228.85$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6429654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Indiana Fever80c224.23$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6834753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96bf…ba22backed Los Angeles Sparks49c211.93$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Los Angeles Sparks48c209.88$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.641421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick45cpaid-57.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Los Angeles Sparks26c206$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.064746.8%22 W · 25 L+5.5wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Los Angeles Sparks15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Los Angeles Sparks15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f6…55aabacked Los Angeles Sparks15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Los Angeles Sparks45c199.58$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8121337.6%80 W · 133 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Indiana Fever80c198.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.629549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Los Angeles Sparks8c196.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8925246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Sparks45c191.6$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.2961042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Indiana Fever52c190.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.431163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Indiana Fever55c171.45$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.1527049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82e8…ffcabacked Indiana Fever71c168.63$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Sparks18c168.53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4737650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Los Angeles Sparks24c160.91$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.15141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Los Angeles Sparks38c151.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.056127.9%17 W · 44 L-10.1wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Indiana Fever50c125$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Indiana Fever74c120.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7831847.8%152 W · 166 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Indiana Fever67c110$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.326147.1%123 W · 138 L+15.7wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Indiana Fever74c106.29$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4619646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Los Angeles Sparks49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Indiana Fever70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302272.7%16 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick75cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Los Angeles Sparks50c98.8$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.41573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x629c…3f90backed Indiana Fever51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.042475%18 W · 6 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+33.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked Los Angeles Sparks14c90$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Los Angeles Sparks29c88.8$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.522437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked Indiana Fever58c85.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.23966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa04…796bbacked Indiana Fever54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ca2…1d74backed Los Angeles Sparks32c71.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Los Angeles Sparks26c69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.793231.3%10 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25b4…635abacked Indiana Fever51c66.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.581921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.23per pick44cpaid-60.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8a63…ceabbacked Los Angeles Sparks47c65.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.699146.2%42 W · 49 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed Los Angeles Sparks48c64.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid+34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.