WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27e05e84e87e684518618e45e9509ae478af52abea387b11acdf6dc94720727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,906
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Under | 52c | 35,800$18,762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,037.9 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 48c | 15,048$7,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,223.17 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 8,017$3,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.75 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 48c | 3,880$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.45 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 48c | 2,042$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.09 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 47c | 2,001$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.46 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 48c | 1,978$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.46 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 47c | 1,747$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.62 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 47c | 1,611$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.73 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 51c | 1,260$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.2 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 51c | 899.97$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 48c | 515.54$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.46 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 47c | 500.11$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.05 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 48c | 388.94$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.32 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 52c | 382.06$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.39 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Under | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Under | 52c | 264.96$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…c845backed Over | 26c | 249.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 239.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Over | 47c | 229.96$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.08 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 48c | 225$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 48c | 222$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac9e…cca3backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed Under | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 51c | 194.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.43 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 55c | 184.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.95 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…b93dbacked Over | 48c | 166.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Over | 48c | 157.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 134$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f7…f399backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Over | 48c | 113.29$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…68a0backed Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31d…e7a4backed Over | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over | 47c | 69.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.56 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 50c | 64.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 52c | 61.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 53c | 61.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Over | 54c | 55.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 52c | 54.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 52c | 53.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed Over | 47c | 53.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 55c | 50.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Under | 53c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c4…c3b0backed Over | 48c | 44.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e52…4b5ebacked Over | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…7764backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…01c6backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Over | 50c | 37.84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked Over | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…72c0backed Over | 48c | 27.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 48c | 27.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 53c | 26.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 36 | 77.8%28 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Over | 48c | 25.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 64c | 23.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 47c | 23.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e78…4e67backed Over | 48c | 21.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -32%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 185.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.