TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb719…c1e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: Tweets, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 55 out of 100; worst Music at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C or below on May 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$41
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.5
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on May 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$33.5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 64-65°F on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$104
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C or higher on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C or higher on May 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+91.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+245.6%+$133.61
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.56
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.5
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+649.5%+$639.53
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$111.5
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid+25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+85.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.89
Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.32
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.52
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+108.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.19
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 184.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of April 27 above $380?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs G2 Gozen (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stagebacked G2 Gozen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Obsession" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Charaeva vs. Korpatsch: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.