TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,474
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,473

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,474 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over47c14,600$6,823 inLost-$6,822.6333838.2%129 W · 209 L-21.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Under54c13,900$7,462 inWon+$6,437.61,50154.5%818 W · 683 L+34.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f03…b1bebacked Under54c10,000$5,400 inWon+$4,6001,13252.5%594 W · 538 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over46c5,276$2,427 inLost-$2,427.0554529.7%162 W · 383 L-34.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Over46c1,993$917 inLost-$91722644.2%100 W · 126 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Over46c1,540$708 inLost-$708.321,00747.9%482 W · 525 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over49c1,199$586 inLost-$585.561,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Under50c1,069$535 inWon+$534.651,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over46c908.85$418 inLost-$418.0724041.3%99 W · 141 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under51c700$357 inWon+$3431,79451.1%917 W · 877 L+50.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Over46c652.17$300 inLost-$3008946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Over46c475.17$219 inLost-$218.5843839.7%174 W · 264 L-24.3wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x565a…3207backed Over49c290.58$142 inLost-$1422934.5%10 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under57c175.9$100 inWon+$75.920546.3%95 W · 110 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Under51c151.99$78 inWon+$74.482,15653.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb719…c1e1backed Under52c119$62 inWon+$57.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+30.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Under51c100$51 inWon+$4989050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Over46c100$46 inLost-$4617650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Over46c74.98$34 inLost-$34.4945044.7%201 W · 249 L-29.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Over50c74.54$37 inLost-$37.271,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a37…4daebacked Over48c63.02$30 inLost-$308246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe93c…76ebbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost-$208242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Under57c35.09$20 inWon+$15.0932050%160 W · 160 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x268e…dfaebacked Under54c23$12 inWon+$10.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fb4…d080backed Over46c22.3$10 inLost-$10.2625960.2%156 W · 103 L+21.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.