Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa31522381759520e6d22a14b36e28dc2a28b01ec56e5e123de84a6aab06d54d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,969
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,969 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 55c | 6,911$3,819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.05 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Under | 55c | 1,657$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.71 | 890 | 50.6%450 W · 440 L | +14.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0193…bad1backed Over | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Over | 44c | 867.99$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.92 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Over | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Over | 45c | 459.12$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 45c | 243$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Over | 46c | 199.83$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.92 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 53c | 150.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.95 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Under | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Over | 46c | 68.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?No won
- Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)Oh My God won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
- LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 WinnerOh My God won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.