TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: EDG (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oh My Godof EDward Gaming, Oh My God
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,088

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeed6…ec56backed EDward Gaming45c2,253$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.6820649.5%102 W · 104 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Oh My God55c1,645$899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$746.8154353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed EDward Gaming45c1,000$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.5547455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed EDward Gaming65c630.9$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.171,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Oh My God35c624$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.713137.4%49 W · 82 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…b7acbacked Oh My God56c499.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22032457.7%187 W · 137 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Oh My God54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18452750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e4…bf9dbacked EDward Gaming43c357.71$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.8167552.4%354 W · 321 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed EDward Gaming47c319.15$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506521.5%14 W · 51 L-8.3wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x54f6…b0f2backed EDward Gaming67c310$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.74461.4%27 W · 17 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+24.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked EDward Gaming66c301.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bf8…03b2backed EDward Gaming44c226.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036752%191 W · 176 L-18.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked EDward Gaming45c209.89$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4564749.9%323 W · 324 L-24.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked Oh My God56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886443.8%28 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e2d…8a1dbacked Oh My God34c199.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.993050%15 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+122%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Oh My God56c189.98$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.5960538.8%235 W · 370 L-1.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8849…9a83backed Oh My God55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8239451%201 W · 193 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Oh My God57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.4449346.5%229 W · 264 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed Oh My God57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.448240.2%33 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Oh My God57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441,11435%390 W · 724 L+14.3wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked EDward Gaming44c170$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.835045.1%158 W · 192 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6202…8872backed Oh My God48c166.22$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1239859.8%238 W · 160 L+31.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Oh My God56c159.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.0249847.2%235 W · 263 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Oh My God55c147.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5960849.5%301 W · 307 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc97f…b5e5backed Oh My God55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked EDward Gaming42c134$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.281,48550.1%744 W · 741 L+67.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Oh My God54c129.02$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.351,60948.4%779 W · 830 L+24.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ec6…698bbacked Oh My God33c125.78$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.274047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…1cbbbacked Oh My God33c124.68$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Oh My God34c116.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.6275150.7%381 W · 370 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Oh My God56c110.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7474849.6%371 W · 377 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28ca…a5d4backed EDward Gaming46c109.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Oh My God56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4463646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5fa6…03ebbacked Oh My God56c99.99$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4457333%189 W · 384 L-9.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3601…cd3fbacked EDward Gaming45c95.81$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5212451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Oh My God33c94.78$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.521,13431%352 W · 782 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Oh My God55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9117650%88 W · 88 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Oh My God58c75.72$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa85f…bb16backed Oh My God58c65.18$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.485040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Oh My God55c59.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9962649.8%312 W · 314 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Oh My God34c58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.991,83117.1%313 W · 1,518 L-236.0wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked EDward Gaming46c56.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264240.5%17 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Oh My God55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5592354.3%501 W · 422 L-17.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0fd…d036backed Oh My God38c53.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.452343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Oh My God47c51.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2224959.8%149 W · 100 L+18.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd9ba…ce43backed Oh My God45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92c…a387backed EDward Gaming65c46.08$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.955745.6%26 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…ab49backed Oh My God55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.458755.2%48 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7f2…d2d8backed Oh My God56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.642951.7%15 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa1…d5dabacked Oh My God35c41.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8623831.5%75 W · 163 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Oh My God61c38.71$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.051,17066.2%774 W · 396 L+69.6wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f08…e919backed Oh My God36c36.6$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4247630.7%146 W · 330 L-13.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Oh My God56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8479745.8%365 W · 432 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac8d…f98cbacked Oh My God56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7124257%138 W · 104 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Oh My God54c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.857655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4374…3d05backed EDward Gaming67c25.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1723748.5%115 W · 122 L-15.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5559…2bd2backed EDward Gaming66c22.85$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521141.2%87 W · 124 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.