Tweets · resolved market
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49696308593895795521776e4220cfa23372f429ecb7a0b6598b7662ee2ba7b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,535
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7500…567fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,349$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.3 | 361 | 13.3%48 W · 313 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 67c | 1,382$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.35 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 48c | 1,279$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.31 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…edf9backed No | 61c | 1,240$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.58 | 51 | 74.5%38 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 42c | 1,161$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.01 | 122 | 32.8%40 W · 82 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef7…85ecbacked Yes | 45c | 852.66$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 35c | 812.56$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.25 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 10c | 804.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.29 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 30c | 795.29$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 103 | 30.1%31 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ce…7f27backed No | 54c | 706.3$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.73 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 50c | 698.71$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 27c | 689.23$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.57 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes | 8c | 452.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.87 | 559 | 8.2%46 W · 513 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed No | 75c | 398.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4873…b9c2backed Yes | 16c | 350$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 21c | 340$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.45 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 36c | 337.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.19 | 221 | 60.2%133 W · 88 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed Yes | 45c | 330.23$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 67c | 328.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes | 16c | 312.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.75 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 17c | 310.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.35 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…b6a8backed Yes | 71c | 309.11$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72cb…0f84backed No | 32c | 309.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 19c | 298.75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.37 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 46c | 294.56$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.53 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 45c | 291.61$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.24 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a36…2450backed No | 67c | 279.21$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 14c | 264.08$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.41 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 66c | 259.25$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 426 | 28.2%120 W · 306 L | -38.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 26c | 250$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.8 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd74c…cf72backed No | 80c | 225.79$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 55c | 223.85$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.14 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 222$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…7004backed Yes | 25c | 221$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.75 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 50c | 218.61$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbea2…2d33backed No | 42c | 207.9$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.6 | 491 | 6.7%33 W · 458 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf262…c56dbacked Yes | 22c | 179.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.85 | 483 | 10.1%49 W · 434 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 18c | 159.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.83 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 34c | 157.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 9c | 154.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.7 | 1,625 | 1.9%31 W · 1,594 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 150.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.11 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d7…291dbacked No | 22c | 150.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 53c | 149.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ea…02edbacked Yes | 18c | 145.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 135 | 11.9%16 W · 119 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 27c | 143.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.79 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e47…60aebacked No | 67c | 140.04$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba70…b6c7backed Yes | 9c | 139.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 37c | 118.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.78 | 102 | 16.7%17 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25b2…3b9ebacked Yes | 35c | 118.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 113.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.36 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked No | 29c | 108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cb…3cd6backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 100 | 24%24 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…23a6backed No | 30c | 82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca42…ce9abacked No | 23c | 81.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes | 61c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 205 | 32.7%67 W · 138 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…bb3fbacked Yes | 31c | 70.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 53c | 70.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 510 | 18.2%93 W · 417 L | -89.7wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…ffcabacked No | 30c | 66.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…5174backed Yes | 19c | 62.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +431.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…0e4fbacked No | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…2de1backed No | 30c | 58.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb764…51ddbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed No | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 30c | 49.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 199 | 33.2%66 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017e…be52backed Yes | 68c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…e4e3backed No | 42c | 47.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 58c | 47.37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 32c | 46.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb8…b468backed Yes | 53c | 44.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae6b…51f6backed Yes | 70c | 44.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 68c | 40.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38c…1ee8backed Yes | 75c | 39.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48a0…f156backed No | 51c | 38.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40a5…ed20backed Yes | 61c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 42c | 32.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 287 | 23.7%68 W · 219 L | -46.5wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked No | 48c | 31.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae1b…8051backed No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb4…f3a4backed Yes | 61c | 29.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…4ba3backed No | 65c | 22.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…2d5bbacked No | 59c | 20.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d2…8dacbacked Yes | 57c | 20.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked Yes | 64c | 19.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e6…63ebbacked Yes | 80c | 17.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcc…701bbacked Yes | 71c | 16.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…1e9abacked No | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?this page
- Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
- Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.