Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5144cd6a61ad9fe20f4a095a2548cd8e5e3d30f3c378843b451f804a1e10cd9

Rebuilt 22 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $212,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $163,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,786 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 228 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	1c	10,410$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.42	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95c6…ad4bbacked Yes	0c	9,532$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.26	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	44c	6,510$2,896 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,895.9	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	48c	6,119$2,928 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,190.82	72	65.3%47 W · 25 L	+4.9wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	36c	5,403$1,923 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,922.7	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	44c	4,957$2,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,198.32	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	43c	4,904$2,113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,113.47	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	42c	4,671$1,973 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,972.85	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	4c	4,100$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.87	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	3c	4,050$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.1	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	7c	3,765$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	24c	3,751$893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$893.44	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	54c	3,261$1,768 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,492.78	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	80c	2,668$2,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,127.09	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	50c	2,613$1,310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,303.02	208	57.2%119 W · 89 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	39c	2,211$873 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,338.59	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3a…4580backed Yes	76c	2,050$1,566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,565.57	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	32c	2,000$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	40c	2,000$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$808.49	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	46c	1,969$898 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$897.92	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	49c	1,941$948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$948.04	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	44c	1,805$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800.91	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	49c	1,727$850 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.8	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	56c	1,700$957 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$956.63	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x46a0…77a9backed Yes	40c	1,614$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.88	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	30c	1,510$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$451.59	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	60c	1,400$837 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$837.37	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	54c	1,391$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$641	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	52c	1,360$712 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.03	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	34c	1,338$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.45	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	36c	1,306$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.63	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,268$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.69	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	1,250$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	79c	1,228$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.98	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	21c	1,082$232 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$849.24	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed Yes	55c	1,054$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.38	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	30c	1,048$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.26	83	42.2%35 W · 48 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee3…600ebacked Yes	47c	917.94$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.15	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked No	33c	905.52$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$602.56	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1359…0c0dbacked Yes	49c	875.63$431 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$430.7	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c8…6e5fbacked Yes	36c	863.07$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.03	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.9wins	-0.06per pick	42cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed No	58c	789.25$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$332.84	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c5…79d8backed Yes	23c	767.15$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	67c	753.29$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$504.66	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	51c	712.67$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.53	241	55.6%134 W · 107 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7522…df3cbacked Yes	15c	699.17$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.26	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	59c	695.07$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.06	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	73c	685.22$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	15c	631.28$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.6	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	8c	610.52$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.28	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	61c	607.96$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.64	148	64.9%96 W · 52 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x09de…c6d2backed Yes	15c	601.14$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.46	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	47c	593.5$278 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.36	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed2…63b9backed Yes	14c	592.34$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.18per pick	32cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d7…1218backed Yes	12c	587.67$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.64	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	10c	587.59$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.95	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	59c	585.32$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$239.61	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	29c	564.97$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163.15	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	4c	563.58$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.89	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f5…d8a1backed Yes	41c	558.26$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.38	32	25%8 W · 24 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xacbc…7cc3backed No	43c	553.81$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$315.03	115	12.2%14 W · 101 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-57.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Yes	70c	547.46$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.67	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.10per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes	24c	527.7$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.66	287	23.7%68 W · 219 L	-46.5wins	-0.16per pick	40cpaid	-63%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	75c	505.33$377 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.03	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	21c	504$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.09	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcde6…040fbacked Yes	31c	483.51$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.91	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes	7c	479.99$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	47c	479$227 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.93	218	57.8%126 W · 92 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes	24c	472.79$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.55	121	6.6%8 W · 113 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3329…43a6backed Yes	49c	449.99$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.51	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	47cpaid	-35%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa81b…58cabacked Yes	14c	449.49$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	67c	443.29$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.93	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Yes	4c	421.05$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.96	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x045a…b9a4backed Yes	17c	418.56$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.99	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+68.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	30c	415.75$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.86	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…398bbacked Yes	7c	401.48$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.86	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…9418backed Yes	75c	398.78$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1308…45c6backed No	36c	388.74$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$248.79	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	55cpaid	+106.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fec…8136backed Yes	59c	382.8$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.08	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x28c0…8eeebacked Yes	55c	382.22$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$209.58	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked No	66c	373.28$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.39	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc27a…d7f3backed Yes	15c	337.83$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.38	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6867…25b8backed Yes	76c	334$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$254.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	75c	332.79$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	40c	332.32$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.64	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	12c	317.42$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.34	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	37c	314.58$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.02	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	39c	304.45$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f5…4807backed Yes	5c	303.31$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	10cpaid	+157.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	26c	303.19$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	67c	300.28$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	74c	300$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.7	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	7c	298.32$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.78	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5204…23c2backed Yes	22c	281.88$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.93	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes	19c	270.88$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.61	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eb1…743ebacked Yes	35c	264.37$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.2	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	36cpaid	-54.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec07…ca80backed Yes	16c	259.84$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x254a…bc44backed Yes	72c	256.56$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.98	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-5.6wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	10c	254.51$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No	78c	246.22$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.43	30	66.7%20 W · 10 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	57cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event