Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0259d891dd9a812dcabac2d1eca28de01d92980d4116f1f1c6d89083f57e6801

Rebuilt 36 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $221,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $161,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,085 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	6,878$889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$889.16	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	5,500$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.5	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	4,818$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	1c	4,400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.59	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	3,800$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.52	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	2c	3,454$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.49	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	12c	3,421$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.69	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd112…6622backed Yes	2c	3,159$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	14c	2,989$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.55	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	2c	2,528$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.43	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	10c	2,249$226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.64	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	6c	2,113$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.1	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	1c	2,059$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	77	27.3%21 W · 56 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	23cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	8c	2,039$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.61	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	1,970$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.33	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ce…645cbacked Yes	1c	1,923$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.54	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	17c	1,903$322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$322.3	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	24c	1,771$424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.05	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	1,646$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.9	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	5c	1,621$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.94	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	20c	1,581$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.73	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	15c	1,547$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.12	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12b6…554ebacked Yes	9c	1,503$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.46	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	1,427$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.45	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	2c	1,410$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.43	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	6c	1,300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.8	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe906…ae2bbacked Yes	2c	1,250$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11c5…79d8backed Yes	2c	1,205$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1ca…d09cbacked Yes	2c	1,176$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.41	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55cc…8c91backed Yes	12c	1,162$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.54	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	8c	1,112$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.06	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	14c	1,081$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.52	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d7…1218backed Yes	6c	1,059$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.66	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e1…5323backed Yes	6c	1,043$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.43	48	20.8%10 W · 38 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	3c	1,000$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	316	21.8%69 W · 247 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	9c	991.82$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.52	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Yes	6c	927.4$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.68	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee3…600ebacked Yes	11c	915.76$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.2	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	827.6$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.37	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	8c	827.29$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.13	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	2c	675.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09de…c6d2backed Yes	17c	671.21$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.9	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	11c	609.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.41	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a0…77a9backed Yes	12c	588.78$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	6c	581.6$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.45	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…a9babacked Yes	16c	500$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	4c	490.03$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.94	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f5…4807backed Yes	6c	444.17$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+2.6wins	+0.11per pick	10cpaid	+157.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4219…6e2cbacked Yes	5c	428$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.83	63	25.4%16 W · 47 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7522…df3cbacked Yes	12c	415.5$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.61	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.11per pick	18cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9996…bda1backed Yes	17c	406.98$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.11	149	13.4%20 W · 129 L	-9.6wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa81b…58cabacked Yes	16c	396.91$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	18c	375.25$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.26	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	13c	374.35$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed No	73c	370.98$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.12	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcde6…040fbacked Yes	22c	360.77$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.58	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	6c	317.16$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	7c	316.44$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.7	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc27a…d7f3backed Yes	16c	316.01$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.95	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes	5c	305$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.95	317	43.2%137 W · 180 L	+28.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes	12c	260.83$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.89	99	19.2%19 W · 80 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe409…561ebacked Yes	18c	256.35$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.4	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5204…23c2backed Yes	29c	251.26$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.56	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f5e…343cbacked Yes	18c	219.88$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	61	13.1%8 W · 53 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39e…7e03backed Yes	24c	207$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.51	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	15c	203.8$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x0739…aba8backed Yes	16c	200.88$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.45	75	40%30 W · 45 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	31c	200$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01da…07bebacked Yes	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	143	20.3%29 W · 114 L	+6.9wins	+0.05per pick	15cpaid	+82.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec07…ca80backed Yes	13c	198.63$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.53	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	10c	189.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.88	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa26f…e9bfbacked Yes	16c	170$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.75	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-3.9wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x175c…4dacbacked Yes	19c	167.99$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.13	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	25cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…835dbacked Yes	20c	150.01$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…318fbacked Yes	15c	145.05$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.92	111	14.4%16 W · 95 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a1…fa1abacked Yes	27c	141.32$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.75	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+193.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9439…9d6fbacked Yes	15c	135.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	44.4%28 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	12c	130.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.13	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ab6…6099backed Yes	15c	130.37$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	67	28.4%19 W · 48 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	9c	128.23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee6…06e5backed Yes	12c	126.02$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3b5d…3e6fbacked Yes	27c	119.76$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.87	47	21.3%10 W · 37 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eaa…2b9cbacked Yes	34c	116.28$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8848…8c30backed Yes	13c	114$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb719…c1e1backed Yes	11c	112$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	39cpaid	+91.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d02…fd07backed Yes	15c	111.34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.04	36	13.9%5 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	21cpaid	-48%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3217…f28dbacked Yes	15c	103.07$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2127…37f2backed No	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	108	66.7%72 W · 36 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5a0…fb10backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.37	140	26.4%37 W · 103 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	20cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes	21c	100$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	205	32.7%67 W · 138 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes	11c	99.61$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06d0…1e15backed Yes	14c	99.17$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	34cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab69…e2b7backed Yes	17c	98.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd79a…9167backed Yes	31c	97.86$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x354e…cadebacked Yes	12c	94.02$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	+135.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9f…1540backed Yes	16c	93.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.87	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed No	68c	91.99$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.16	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b72…bac9backed Yes	15c	91.69$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c9…3b29backed Yes	17c	90.75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	25	48%12 W · 13 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	39cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f0…469cbacked Yes	34c	87.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event