Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e9870ea4af5f0cb8a225aecfdec5f36b7fc9823391aef66fe07a2267e2eb6fa

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $91,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	78	0%0 W · 78 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	0c	7,996$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.9	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	2c	6,520$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.94	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	4,963$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.16	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,960$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.12	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	2c	1,543$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.21	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf4…1ccabacked Yes	4c	1,486$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83a1…fa1abacked Yes	5c	965.7$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.74	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	12cpaid	+193.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	4c	929.65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.29	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…f5adbacked Yes	5c	727.61$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.75	64	10.9%7 W · 57 L	+3.5wins	+0.05per pick	6cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	7c	681.82$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.75	159	22.6%36 W · 123 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…398bbacked Yes	5c	660.97$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.84	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	625.83$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.45	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	4c	600$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.7	124	9.7%12 W · 112 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-59.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…318fbacked Yes	5c	600$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	111	14.4%16 W · 95 L	-3.6wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f48…ebeabacked Yes	8c	429.99$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.76	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa46f…87c3backed Yes	6c	356.91$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.89	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9f…1540backed Yes	8c	331.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8401…17ecbacked Yes	6c	308.8$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee98…113dbacked Yes	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d0d…a0a3backed Yes	6c	287.26$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.72	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bc…e4dabacked Yes	6c	282.9$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.84	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	16cpaid	-50%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	4c	280.6$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	6c	211.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.44	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a7…9e8dbacked Yes	6c	203.66$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.38	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.09per pick	24cpaid	+54.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e99…b482backed Yes	7c	200.34$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.12	26	7.7%2 W · 24 L	-4.0wins	-0.15per pick	23cpaid	-84.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…486cbacked Yes	6c	199.78$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.19	42	9.5%4 W · 38 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380f…8229backed Yes	5c	190$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	177	22.6%40 W · 137 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	21cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 660-679 tweets in May 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event