Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11a78aebb5a769ff8ac6b2cb61b4d5138c4de9aa6e398197ab9d1d37a3886db9

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $329,646
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $256,804

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $329,646 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	11,822$580 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,241.68	2,576	13.2%339 W · 2,237 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	39c	8,313$3,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,041.44	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	11c	7,917$835 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,082.03	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95c6…ad4bbacked No	1c	6,768$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.01	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7712…155abacked No	40c	6,441$2,595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,595.09	159	44.7%71 W · 88 L	+11.9wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed Yes	77c	6,233$4,826 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,407.3	104	42.3%44 W · 60 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	69c	6,214$4,294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,920.83	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	12c	5,010$614 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,396.04	423	19.4%82 W · 341 L	-19.5wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	50c	5,008$2,519 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,488.79	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	27c	4,414$1,172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,242.23	328	24.7%81 W · 247 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2856…1ecdbacked Yes	24c	4,324$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,276.42	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	73c	4,171$3,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,029.68	79	64.6%51 W · 28 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+26.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	32c	4,036$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,730.47	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	3c	3,861$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,760.69	712	16.7%119 W · 593 L	-13.0wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	12c	3,581$446 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,135.31	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd769…f90cbacked Yes	13c	3,421$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,986.97	144	13.9%20 W · 124 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	4c	2,567$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,453.47	2,181	3.9%85 W · 2,096 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked No	34c	2,490$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.32	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	48c	2,461$1,180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,180.07	218	57.3%125 W · 93 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15ce…d47ebacked Yes	23c	2,421$564 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,857.21	106	17%18 W · 88 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd13d…a958backed Yes	26c	2,364$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,760.38	23	26.1%6 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	7c	2,196$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,031.42	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	15c	2,121$318 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,803.35	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	31c	2,000$613 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,387.34	584	22.1%129 W · 455 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	19c	1,992$385 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,606.84	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	65c	1,948$1,262 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$686.49	417	30.9%129 W · 288 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5758…e2d8backed Yes	31c	1,822$571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.56	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	53c	1,809$955 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$955.03	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	80c	1,733$1,386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,385.99	230	60%138 W · 92 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	52c	1,727$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$901.69	213	57.3%122 W · 91 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	37c	1,601$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,001.09	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	29c	1,548$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,098.27	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7505…2978backed No	59c	1,500$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.26	174	40.8%71 W · 103 L	+5.6wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	25c	1,472$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,111.19	290	48.3%140 W · 150 L	+11.3wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaee7…37febacked Yes	54c	1,400$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$648.79	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	24c	1,256$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$952.78	153	27.5%42 W · 111 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	44c	1,250$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.57	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4ee3…600ebacked Yes	27c	1,229$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$900.46	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	24c	1,222$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$928.96	330	29.4%97 W · 233 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	9c	1,191$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,080.59	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d87…4f67backed Yes	62c	1,167$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$440.07	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	5c	1,153$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.99	280	23.9%67 W · 213 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	4c	1,050$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,007.8	164	12.2%20 W · 144 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	+19.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	54c	1,016$546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$546.29	315	54.9%173 W · 142 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	23c	1,014$237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$777.64	157	21.7%34 W · 123 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x697b…d152backed Yes	13c	999.99$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.04	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+2.4wins	+0.16per pick	31cpaid	+71.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	17c	963.53$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.51	182	24.7%45 W · 137 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30cf…704abacked Yes	25c	938.8$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$704.13	94	48.9%46 W · 48 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67b…af43backed Yes	7c	935.09$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$865.44	160	22.5%36 W · 124 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	54c	932$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.47	252	55.6%140 W · 112 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	51c	919.34$470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.69	136	31.6%43 W · 93 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	7c	886.33$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$820.1	567	8.1%46 W · 521 L	+12.2wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55cc…8c91backed Yes	16c	833.33$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.77	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	12c	752.02$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$661.23	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb38d…83d6backed No	74c	700.75$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.68	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	65cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	49c	699.87$345 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$354.56	411	23.1%95 W · 316 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	60c	694.7$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.17	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	67cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	5c	687.94$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$654.34	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5177…2d20backed Yes	10c	682.39$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.39	19	10.5%2 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	13c	675.08$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$584.5	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5204…23c2backed No	67c	664.99$443 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$442.71	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-2.3wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-35%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc331…1d71backed Yes	8c	649.35$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.35	114	17.5%20 W · 94 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-11%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed No	46c	643.07$293 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.01	106	43.4%46 W · 60 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11c5…79d8backed Yes	10c	624.32$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$559.32	61	24.6%15 W · 46 L	-4.1wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b7d…d2dcbacked No	79c	616.62$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$485.55	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes	14c	600$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+72.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	52c	589.65$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.32	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b2a…70d2backed Yes	25c	584.23$144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.97	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	7c	582.03$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$539.11	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09de…c6d2backed Yes	15c	575.36$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.07	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x77fa…1a63backed Yes	28c	573.13$159 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$414.18	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.72per pick	28cpaid	+260.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13fa…052abacked Yes	29c	566.09$162 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$403.73	107	30.8%33 W · 74 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes	2c	548.69$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$538.2	79	27.8%22 W · 57 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	546.3$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$517.31	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x021f…4ec7backed Yes	71c	541.41$387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.74	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.23per pick	57cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d9…be50backed Yes	53c	540.95$287 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253.46	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b6…554ebacked Yes	23c	530.17$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$406.91	27	29.6%8 W · 19 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	22cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a98…bcafbacked Yes	26c	526.91$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$391.91	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.7wins	+0.74per pick	26cpaid	+290.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe62e…cc81backed Yes	35c	526.14$186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$340.09	167	41.3%69 W · 98 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes	20c	516.79$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$413.61	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-5.3wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c45…398bbacked Yes	8c	515.12$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$475.32	35	14.3%5 W · 30 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	+73.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x40d7…1218backed Yes	8c	510.38$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$470.49	160	13.1%21 W · 139 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed No	22c	506.09$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.94	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	35c	505.33$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.43	101	45.5%46 W · 55 L	-7.3wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe41…556cbacked Yes	76c	495.5$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.5	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+16%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eaa…2b9cbacked Yes	9c	480.23$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$436.5	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes	14c	465.29$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.13	345	15.9%55 W · 290 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa81b…58cabacked Yes	14c	464.21$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$399.21	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x28c0…8eeebacked Yes	29c	450.68$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.73	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6c…7171backed Yes	19c	445$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.52	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+2.9wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1359…0c0dbacked Yes	70c	435.17$303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.91	59	25.4%15 W · 44 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	46c	433.17$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.17	167	26.9%45 W · 122 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd79a…9167backed Yes	20c	428.11$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$342.17	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Yes	15c	421.28$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.76	102	16.7%17 W · 85 L	+6.7wins	+0.07per pick	10cpaid	-25.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…4cc9backed Yes	21c	407.59$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$321.55	196	28.1%55 W · 141 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	404.33$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.51	1,041	11%115 W · 926 L	+4.5wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6a…a1a1backed Yes	24c	404.02$96 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.41	99	22.2%22 W · 77 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	22c	403.86$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314.44	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xec07…ca80backed Yes	8c	398.65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$368.65	54	18.5%10 W · 44 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	+58.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db0…8c18backed No	79c	398$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.2	46	58.7%27 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 59 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event