TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xee98…113d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
73
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Middle East, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 55 out of 100; worst Stocks at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.82
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+94%+$300.39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+42.8%+$129.78
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+121.2%+$219.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,943.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$215.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$113
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.7
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$190
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$128.7
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$24.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $135 Week of March 30 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$42.86
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 20 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.4
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$114
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$62.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.9%+$33.45
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+91.8%+$887.58
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,334Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+115.1%+$1,534.69
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$47
All 9 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-72%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Stocks — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+519.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,981Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+519.7%+$10,298.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Volkanovski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs South America Rejects (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$503Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$503.37
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.