Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17f75289919e3a2c1aac51c68827c4a53939162ff4b739f1c0609d6967dc97ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $231,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfbfd…c32dbacked Yes | 15c | 34,228$5,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,114.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf705…3ca7backed Yes | 7c | 30,112$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.89 | 351 | 23.9%84 W · 267 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 6c | 18,637$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105.35 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 10,300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xede1…7dd1backed Yes | 6c | 10,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…e915backed Yes | 5c | 7,971$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50aa…143dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…e93fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,039$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…e9ebbacked Yes | 6c | 3,500$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 5c | 2,673$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7558…2d70backed Yes | 2c | 2,361$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 110 | 5.5%6 W · 104 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…d30bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,298$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.18 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 5c | 2,269$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 2,240$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…7175backed Yes | 4c | 2,046$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,887$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,786$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed No | 72c | 1,652$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.55 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356a…a0cbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,514$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ca…9265backed Yes | 28c | 1,471$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.95 | 72 | 13.9%10 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,373$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 1,354$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 1,330$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8411…c309backed Yes | 4c | 1,297$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 1,249$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf921…be16backed Yes | 6c | 1,086$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.51 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…2a26backed Yes | 6c | 999.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…a11ebacked Yes | 7c | 944.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…b94abacked Yes | 12c | 870$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 1c | 850.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…c663backed Yes | 3c | 828.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 4c | 744.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.27 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed Yes | 6c | 740.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 8c | 719.01$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.46 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 11c | 700$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee98…113dbacked Yes | 3c | 690.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…50c7backed Yes | 24c | 537.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…b009backed Yes | 5c | 450$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +95%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 7c | 429.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 4c | 400.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -8.0wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 13c | 394.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…2e62backed Yes | 28c | 357.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…042bbacked Yes | 7c | 342.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes | 7c | 331$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4845…580cbacked Yes | 4c | 322.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d1…461cbacked Yes | 21c | 289.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.27per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa462…cd56backed Yes | 9c | 273.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419f…e853backed Yes | 7c | 269.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…17c8backed Yes | 7c | 240.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked Yes | 6c | 234.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…69dbbacked Yes | 6c | 230.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 7c | 226.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…7de0backed Yes | 5c | 217.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 25c | 211.41$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.85 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…ce12backed Yes | 6c | 186.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…d701backed Yes | 6c | 180.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0226…7ca2backed Yes | 16c | 169.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…073fbacked Yes | 8c | 141.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…c1e1backed Yes | 11c | 139$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed Yes | 13c | 133.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x683e…bd2dbacked Yes | 22c | 109.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +9.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +28%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6294…33f3backed No | 79c | 99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1968…2261backed Yes | 16c | 91.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4173…ba3fbacked No | 80c | 30.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana dip to $70 in May?this page
- Will Solana dip to $40 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $100 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $90 in May?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.