Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $90 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01350d3c6c168ef80abcdd95a364cae8ddf72e184e7d688f82c2f1527ffbc8f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,172
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,172 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb22b…c49dbacked No | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cee…22ffbacked No | 41c | 6,881$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.64 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 61c | 4,131$2,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.84 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 57c | 3,582$2,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.52 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…1c81backed Yes | 65c | 3,322$2,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed No | 35c | 2,157$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.22 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 34c | 1,743$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.07 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 1c | 1,198$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b2…26b9backed Yes | 59c | 1,085$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3193…24d3backed Yes | 73c | 800$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 779.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 30c | 649.28$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e16…5026backed No | 5c | 500$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 3c | 464$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 292 | 2.1%6 W · 286 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e31…4716backed Yes | 65c | 416.11$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.38 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 71c | 324.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +94%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea62…ea4dbacked Yes | 67c | 232.04$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0620…2e62backed No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 26c | 211.25$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked No | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…61f2backed Yes | 59c | 168.64$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 69c | 143.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…1966backed Yes | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x749d…1fb3backed Yes | 58c | 99.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5302…208abacked Yes | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes | 67c | 79.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 66 | 13.6%9 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…bb98backed No | 39c | 72.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc4…d5e2backed Yes | 67c | 71.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d37…acdabacked Yes | 80c | 66.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…7238backed Yes | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 62c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54e…9598backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 149 | 9.4%14 W · 135 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de9…d0debacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…af8bbacked Yes | 64c | 25.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 140 | 75.7%106 W · 34 L | +17.6wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…a738backed Yes | 69c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…4ae1backed Yes | 63c | 20.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d35…8b0ebacked Yes | 60c | 18.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $90 in May?this page
- Will Solana dip to $40 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $50 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 in May?No won
- Will Solana dip to $80 in May?Yes won
- Will Solana reach $100 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $140 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $150 in May?No won
- Will Solana reach $160 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.