TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana reach $110 in May?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$282,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$198,938

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $282,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes8c21,694$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.8963835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes1c20,808$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.344754.6%22 W · 453 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+144.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes0c18,426$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.28740%0 W · 74 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x478c…1c81backed Yes20c13,491$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,650.01520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-69.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed Yes16c12,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c11,907$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.232922.1%6 W · 286 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick1cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7af5…d57abacked Yes0c8,913$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-86.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad45…b8c9backed Yes2c6,432$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.93937.5%7 W · 86 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-56.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes1c6,300$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x104a…5b05backed Yes9c5,841$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.198017.5%14 W · 66 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4129…4dc9backed Yes0c5,500$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11120%0 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a8…e615backed Yes7c5,053$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57e4…7becbacked Yes8c4,280$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Yes3c3,974$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.793520%7 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-65.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5861…66efbacked Yes26c3,240$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617c…a1b6backed Yes6c2,969$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe004…cce7backed Yes1c2,878$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.16510%0 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x615e…5295backed Yes1c2,842$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.722270.9%2 W · 225 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e8…9cbebacked Yes2c2,739$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes3c2,659$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.041483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Yes2c2,500$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.99240%0 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes5c2,491$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.72994%4 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23e6…24fabacked Yes9c2,367$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.0250%0 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed No75c2,257$1,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.2229126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes6c2,248$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.691043.8%4 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick4cpaid-44.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c2,105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.961,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880a…308ebacked Yes8c1,955$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.323650%18 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0578…e1fbbacked Yes10c1,871$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.130%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes2c1,821$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.571490.7%1 W · 148 L-0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-80.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2f…535abacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500100%0 W · 10 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0f71…912dbacked Yes8c1,679$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140695.8%4 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55f…4f15backed Yes24c1,661$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e25…172fbacked Yes1c1,431$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2060%0 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2432…ae39backed Yes13c1,196$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501145.5%5 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick27cpaid+55.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2beb…0a24backed Yes16c1,125$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.06147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-86.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1dd…a272backed Yes31c1,045$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6211726.5%31 W · 86 L-10.1wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes12c963.17$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.5828113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc31f…91b0backed Yes13c900$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171040%4 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88da…15c6backed Yes13c776.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc6b6…3eabbacked Yes21c701.68$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes5c662.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.046613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…d008backed Yes11c554.55$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98b…e80abacked Yes8c499.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe24…bc05backed Yes6c465.16$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f7b…e79fbacked Yes6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e7e…ced4backed Yes19c395.73$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4130%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa813…04fbbacked Yes23c344$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.129964.6%64 W · 35 L+17.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xed06…3612backed Yes28c341.89$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502b…7b15backed Yes13c334.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Yes9c312.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.51833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f20…4655backed Yes34c303.82$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd515…14febacked Yes21c300$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63825%2 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9785…2c5abacked Yes5c299.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15130%0 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…008cbacked Yes17c289.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd7c…46d9backed Yes7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20185.6%1 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-51.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e31…4716backed Yes5c269.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.72516%4 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes27c267.84$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.1120%0 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34ab…3eb5backed Yes8c254.66$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3740%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f13…ca9abacked Yes14c214.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Yes24c210$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.470%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6294…33f3backed Yes15c210$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.66657.6%38 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed No71c203.94$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.11850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16590%0 W · 59 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x941e…9775backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582825%7 W · 21 L-5.5wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-46.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa1b8…cd3ebacked Yes17c198.59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7640%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes24c184.01$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5651…66a6backed No80c177.5$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.56250%31 W · 31 L-8.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc51b…f006backed Yes16c161.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed Yes12c160.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021651.4%111 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99b8…d816backed Yes18c154.28$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4d1…5840backed Yes22c150$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-78.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c74…5383backed Yes27c146.21$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16de…7d45backed Yes20c142.07$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2950%0 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa2b…c35dbacked Yes11c140$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42010%2 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-74.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes8c139.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2680%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…6b37backed Yes12c130$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.61910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ff…cd26backed Yes11c109.09$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b78…5ce6backed Yes12c101.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.911050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253831.6%12 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…8c06backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fe9…bb0abacked No74c99.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9816729.3%49 W · 118 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977e…decebacked Yes16c95.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.241145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1601…6bfcbacked Yes33c72.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x85eb…d068backed No77c70.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.821241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1020…4968backed Yes25c66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc763…a00abacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0242…7375backed No76c52.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dd9…2862backed Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-79.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcbf5…f206backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.