TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Solana dip to $80 in May?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,752
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$309,593

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,752 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e1e…248dbacked No0c37,540$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked No61c37,474$22,814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,814.22714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick59cpaid-81.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf705…3ca7backed Yes35c28,808$9,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,836.4535123.9%84 W · 267 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick19cpaid-36.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6916…2fd4backed Yes39c11,913$4,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,271.0363835.4%226 W · 412 L+18.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbfd…c32dbacked Yes55c10,963$5,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,967.22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-39.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc301…6760backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbaa7…3fbabacked Yes36c8,665$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,567.94757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55be…dca3backed Yes32c5,997$1,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,102.129126.5%77 W · 214 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-34.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xede1…7dd1backed Yes80c4,200$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.081533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f7…4899backed No80c3,750$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+57.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50aa…143dbacked Yes18c2,633$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,147.09425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick13cpaid+35.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06dc…4524backed Yes38c2,483$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.6316253.7%87 W · 75 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes19c2,380$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,926.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+425.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33e…8e2fbacked No49c1,940$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a36…2450backed No76c1,837$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454d…580fbacked No1c1,679$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x880a…308ebacked No32c1,587$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.183650%18 W · 18 L+4.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61f6…ed9ebacked No76c1,555$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes30c1,514$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.7913624.3%33 W · 103 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfbf…8e3dbacked No67c1,452$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes39c1,396$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.5928113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0675…b560backed Yes72c1,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No55c1,272$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0408…856bbacked Yes19c1,200$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+46.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb652…6b31backed Yes14c1,116$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.99333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66a2…3538backed No79c1,000$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No41c935$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.513737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x897d…01cbbacked No52c811.87$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-22.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242126.6%14 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick6cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec3…22dfbacked Yes63c749.96$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.983026.7%8 W · 22 L-7.4wins-0.25per pick51cpaid-52.7%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x78d2…8654backed No37c717.08$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b0d…073fbacked Yes14c699.89$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.91333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick11cpaid+138.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba15…7579backed No46c693.23$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.95442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x312a…66b8backed No57c619.99$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb13…6025backed No38c535.29$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…b94abacked Yes50c500.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.96633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac56…28e9backed Yes57c476.91$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee1…8d64backed Yes31c464.05$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.661060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e21…04ffbacked Yes62c462.29$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes28c456.67$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.751,8444.4%81 W · 1,763 L-13.1wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa205…c6c6backed No44c449.99$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes67c400.48$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.315318.9%10 W · 43 L-8.0wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-54.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.082657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+76.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa813…04fbbacked Yes33c387.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.329964.6%64 W · 35 L+17.0wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+43.1%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x67e4…5aeabacked Yes26c384.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.622222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7af9…e4ebbacked Yes34c367.99$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x65ed…c73abacked Yes57c356.26$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.56850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7503…c29cbacked Yes58c355$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b0f…bdf9backed Yes59c349.47$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.79850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f66…a5a7backed No70c348.88$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.24966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba54…699dbacked No49c343.57$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x413b…b488backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d02…aff6backed No43c315.67$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f9…e5fabacked Yes45c300.2$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.871118.2%2 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b83…008bbacked No8c300$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid+58.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…5db4backed Yes58c300$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-71.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x547d…ea58backed Yes29c279.1$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.832343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2edb…9ac5backed Yes75c267.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.65448.1%26 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe757…d069backed No76c264.81$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f93…e8c0backed No45c257.71$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1172157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1440…42f7backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a74…ae2bbacked Yes17c248.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick7cpaid+96.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3839…e2eebacked No54c233.59$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-28%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41cb…a5dfbacked No68c230.99$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.196761.2%41 W · 26 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+94%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7bca…25e3backed Yes43c221.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…a17bbacked Yes35c201.68$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.136613.6%9 W · 57 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-66%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42c…c27bbacked No7c198$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87994%4 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77eb…9d5cbacked Yes22c194.64$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.821656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd03b…042bbacked Yes45c193.37$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.443740.5%15 W · 22 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick30cpaid-14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cb9…3776backed Yes22c187.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+104.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95e5…19a1backed Yes54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-42.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes32c178.15$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf3…5c30backed Yes57c175$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb89…4ce8backed Yes58c170$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x816e…38c8backed Yes23c160$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe664…c2a5backed Yes59c152.85$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x478c…1c81backed No33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-69.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f02…0b2ebacked Yes40c149.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904673.9%34 W · 12 L+9.4wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+28%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x4b17…1050backed No68c147.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No58c146.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.0911533%38 W · 77 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbcda…3bfabacked Yes58c133.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x173b…bbe0backed Yes34c131.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+195.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked No46c129.46$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Yes40c127.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.883520%7 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-65.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1944…c05dbacked No58c125.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.884969.4%34 W · 15 L+8.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7273…ab4fbacked Yes58c122.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-46.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb9e…11d4backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.953775.7%28 W · 9 L+7.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+55.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x30d6…50c3backed Yes51c121.49$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+35.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85eb…d068backed No64c115.68$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6435…cbc8backed Yes48c114.67$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1137…4ed5backed No56c113.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.421651.4%111 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6e…d008backed Yes45c110.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-26.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked No67c110.27$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8820%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0d1…461cbacked Yes60c109.98$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.091926.3%5 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick53cpaid-61.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xef8b…4ae1backed No44c108.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-47.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6250…8707backed No75c105.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ca…60aebacked No70c100$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-72.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1020…4968backed Yes16c100$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x250c…2774backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784163.1%13 W · 403 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.