TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66a2…3538

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.99
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.98
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$487Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.1%+$619.4
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.75
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$325Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$324.96
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.56
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.44
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.84
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$107.8
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$185.88
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.83
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.41
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$64
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.43
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$357.71
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$164.65
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winnerbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.15
All 18 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-29.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Weather — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.99
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.5
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+46%+$29.92
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$548Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$548.21
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+508%+$227.06
Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$27.7
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+123.9%+$16.39
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Donovan Mitchell: Rebounds O/U 4.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.5
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.95
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.79
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$128.63
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+150%+$120
Spread: Knicks (-9.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.78
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
Jalen Williams: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Thunder vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 106.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
All 14 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: NRG (-1.5) vs Supernova (+1.5)backed Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.81
LoL: Barça eSports vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$13.48
LoL: Galions vs Joblife (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.82
LoL: NRG Esports vs Supernova - Game 1 Winnerbacked Supernova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.36
LoL: Solary vs Ici Japon Corp. Esport (BO1) - LFL Regular Seasonbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.43
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.94
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$66.93
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.31
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$72.71
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.05
Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.28
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.95
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$786Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$786
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.