Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd357a91b0740dd68c56b62293e44e5df3635eb372efcb5e8db00411e8fff21e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tundra Esportsof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $348,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $405,954
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x041b…2d89backed MOUZ | 40c | 37,016$14,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,806.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 32,459$19,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,937.07 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed MOUZ | 47c | 22,805$10,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,648.43 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 54c | 18,571$10,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,066.56 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 13,921$8,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,344.82 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed MOUZ | 38c | 9,396$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.65 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 9,023$4,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,324.43 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 8,830$5,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.51 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Tundra Esports | 68c | 8,722$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,796.4 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 7,881$4,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,994.65 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed MOUZ | 38c | 6,976$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.51 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 40c | 6,554$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.8 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 44c | 6,259$2,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,727.14 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 6,131$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.68 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 6,051$2,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.44 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked MOUZ | 50c | 5,788$2,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.6 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 5,533$2,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.85 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ | 44c | 4,623$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,035.94 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,331$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,689.16 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 3,000$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.99 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ | 50c | 2,742$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370.52 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed MOUZ | 43c | 2,236$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.48 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,200$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.44 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ | 36c | 2,035$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.45 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 1,960$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.94 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,924$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.18 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ | 43c | 1,816$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.9 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Tundra Esports | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,749$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.68 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,655$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.41 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,625$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.22 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 1,518$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.13 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,500$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…7b55backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,499$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ | 13c | 1,460$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ | 40c | 1,455$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.71 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed MOUZ | 18c | 1,329$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.68 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Tundra Esports | 65c | 1,250$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.52 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed MOUZ | 52c | 1,231$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 66c | 1,200$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 12c | 1,099$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 1,071$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.42 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked MOUZ | 46c | 1,041$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.25 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked MOUZ | 7c | 1,011$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed MOUZ | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ | 44c | 996.1$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.19 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Tundra Esports | 65c | 978.99$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.79 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked MOUZ | 34c | 960.2$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.2 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked MOUZ | 40c | 955.1$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.99 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports | 48c | 873.96$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.36 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 842.16$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.21 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…30afbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 839.97$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.59 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Tundra Esports | 57c | 816.37$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.33 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked MOUZ | 46c | 806.89$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 798.72$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.53 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 795.36$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.6 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed MOUZ | 52c | 788.96$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.02 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked MOUZ | 44c | 779.12$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.8 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed MOUZ | 6c | 771.85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed MOUZ | 39c | 758.53$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.74 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed MOUZ | 39c | 741.08$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.02 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 735.45$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.76 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 710.5$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.41 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 39c | 708.85$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Tundra Esports | 52c | 693.43$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.2 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 54c | 683.45$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.27 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked MOUZ | 45c | 672.68$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.12 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Tundra Esports | 64c | 672.04$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.72 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 641.82$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.31 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 612.85$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.53 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…1b52backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 607.85$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed MOUZ | 17c | 600$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 592.02$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.83 | 173 | 73.4%127 W · 46 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed MOUZ | 38c | 564.13$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.13 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed MOUZ | 36c | 559.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.99 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Tundra Esports | 68c | 554.27$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Tundra Esports | 50c | 549.33$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.12 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed MOUZ | 36c | 537.83$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.29 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe289…c31abacked MOUZ | 37c | 520.11$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 501.88$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed MOUZ | 15c | 499.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Tundra Esports | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.41 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Tundra Esports | 67c | 480.29$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.57 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed MOUZ | 56c | 461.58$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.53 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked MOUZ | 35c | 459.41$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ | 48c | 458.16$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 42c | 420.83$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.75 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 416.26$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.34 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked MOUZ | 6c | 414.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.86 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Tundra Esports | 54c | 359.78$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.25 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ | 32c | 353.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.32 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 51c | 321.94$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 320.58$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.27 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed MOUZ | 52c | 309.27$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.85 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ | 6c | 308.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.04 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked MOUZ | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.