Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af56ae1e8258d3ecb7d2f28fe44af424ad6083df4e4a8abce51018388ff5dc8

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: MOUZof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
Resolved: Apr 20, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $127,369
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $152,911

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,369 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports	55c	37,688$20,549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20,548.88	1,210	57.1%691 W · 519 L	+44.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ	44c	11,871$5,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,591.57	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Tundra Esports	53c	7,391$3,924 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,923.69	337	46.3%156 W · 181 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Tundra Esports	65c	6,425$4,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,195.79	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed MOUZ	48c	6,359$3,034 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,325.75	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed MOUZ	49c	5,789$2,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,949.66	1,036	47.2%489 W · 547 L	+15.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed MOUZ	32c	5,000$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,399.99	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed MOUZ	45c	4,997$2,249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,748.3	228	48.2%110 W · 118 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ	48c	4,627$2,207 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,420.51	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ	46c	4,571$2,095 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,475.94	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed MOUZ	48c	4,439$2,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,307.68	489	54.6%267 W · 222 L	+23.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ	61c	4,061$2,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,596.84	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Tundra Esports	55c	3,167$1,742 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,741.67	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed MOUZ	34c	3,141$1,082 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,058.34	242	51.7%125 W · 117 L	+21.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed MOUZ	55c	2,632$1,461 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,171.48	433	44.8%194 W · 239 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked MOUZ	71c	2,042$1,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.08	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Tundra Esports	54c	1,999$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.19	365	47.7%174 W · 191 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ	45c	1,927$867 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,059.96	1,577	43.9%692 W · 885 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed MOUZ	43c	1,881$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.03	603	49.9%301 W · 302 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked MOUZ	79c	1,869$1,481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$387.31	169	54.4%92 W · 77 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked MOUZ	43c	1,537$660 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.69	430	49.1%211 W · 219 L	+15.8wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Tundra Esports	22c	1,522$334 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.63	96	30.2%29 W · 67 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports	40c	1,443$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.07	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed MOUZ	67c	1,375$927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.26	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+26.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ	34c	1,268$431 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$837.08	165	41.2%68 W · 97 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ	57c	1,170$664 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$505.28	565	48%271 W · 294 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377b…5cb1backed Tundra Esports	54c	1,128$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.04	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+25.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed MOUZ	50c	1,113$553 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$560.46	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Tundra Esports	64c	1,031$663 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$662.67	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5c3…1f5fbacked MOUZ	32c	1,000$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$680	152	44.7%68 W · 84 L	-8.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Tundra Esports	18c	971$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.63	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed MOUZ	51c	898.32$459 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.13	446	45.7%204 W · 242 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ	55c	829.73$457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372.64	393	43.3%170 W · 223 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Tundra Esports	54c	789.04$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425.93	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ	66c	562.86$371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.78	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked MOUZ	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	200	43.5%87 W · 113 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	326	52.1%170 W · 156 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Tundra Esports	69c	492.06$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.54	61	60.7%37 W · 24 L	+3.5wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Tundra Esports	49c	484.71$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.73	181	56.4%102 W · 79 L	+8.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed MOUZ	62c	427.32$266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$161.66	285	49.1%140 W · 145 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x831f…9476backed Tundra Esports	23c	420.9$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.35	55	41.8%23 W · 32 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed Tundra Esports	6c	417.53$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.77	345	61.2%211 W · 134 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MOUZ	44c	400$175 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225	1,164	47.2%549 W · 615 L	-29.1wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Tundra Esports	57c	374.04$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.2	138	50%69 W · 69 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed MOUZ	55c	355.01$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.44	460	49.8%229 W · 231 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked MOUZ	34c	341.33$116 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.28	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked MOUZ	68c	311.73$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.93	772	56.5%436 W · 336 L	+30.3wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed Tundra Esports	57c	292.26$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.59	150	64.7%97 W · 53 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Tundra Esports	23c	291$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Tundra Esports	23c	291$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.72	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked MOUZ	60c	290.9$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.92	131	57.3%75 W · 56 L	+6.4wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked MOUZ	61c	271.32$166 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.81	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cab…a8cfbacked MOUZ	74c	266.02$197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.14	353	70%247 W · 106 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ	65c	261.76$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.58	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Tundra Esports	21c	258$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.71	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Tundra Esports	57c	254.86$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.27	131	45%59 W · 72 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb042…204cbacked MOUZ	44c	232.83$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130.39	40	55%22 W · 18 L	+3.3wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed MOUZ	56c	226.01$127 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.45	720	35.1%253 W · 467 L	-24.8wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Tundra Esports	26c	213.55$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.02	372	23.1%86 W · 286 L	-38.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed MOUZ	60c	205.48$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.17	78	59%46 W · 32 L	+7.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed Tundra Esports	11c	194.36$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.66	37	27%10 W · 27 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7176…c511backed MOUZ	49c	193.15$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.21	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Tundra Esports	8c	189.23$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed MOUZ	31c	169.37$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.86	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed MOUZ	46c	168.28$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.87	203	50.7%103 W · 100 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3c1…8174backed MOUZ	45c	168.19$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	249	47.8%119 W · 130 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed Tundra Esports	9c	159.6$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	341	52.2%178 W · 163 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked MOUZ	55c	157.94$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.64	899	38%342 W · 557 L	-45.9wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked MOUZ	66c	152.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.73	998	44.4%443 W · 555 L	+21.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2757…55f0backed Tundra Esports	67c	148.03$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.59	124	54.8%68 W · 56 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked MOUZ	47c	127.47$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.56	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Tundra Esports	17c	120$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.4	360	44.2%159 W · 201 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed MOUZ	62c	114.05$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.35	208	58.7%122 W · 86 L	+22.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked MOUZ	33c	110$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.7	702	36.6%257 W · 445 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed Tundra Esports	17c	108.86$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.51	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+14.8wins	+0.12per pick	40cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2555…5254backed MOUZ	45c	106.75$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.29	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	+5.4wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked MOUZ	67c	100$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	102	62.7%64 W · 38 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Tundra Esports	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	162	50%81 W · 81 L	+9.6wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked Tundra Esports	17c	100$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	82	53.7%44 W · 38 L	+8.4wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed MOUZ	59c	100$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed MOUZ	55c	99.33$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.7	304	60.2%183 W · 121 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Tundra Esports	14c	99.1$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.87	241	31.5%76 W · 165 L	-11.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Tundra Esports	50c	97.65$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.5	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1ee…0f22backed Tundra Esports	70c	90.32$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.77	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	51cpaid	-42.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Tundra Esports	62c	90$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.6	378	51.1%193 W · 185 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Tundra Esports	55c	88.45$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.65	595	56.6%337 W · 258 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Tundra Esports	54c	86.81$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.88	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc568…916dbacked MOUZ	49c	84.63$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.19	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+2.8wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Tundra Esports	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	182	48.9%89 W · 93 L	+15.0wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Tundra Esports	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	217	48.8%106 W · 111 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Tundra Esports	17c	80$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	302	50%151 W · 151 L	+11.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda91…d760backed Tundra Esports	45c	74.81$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.64	173	40.5%70 W · 103 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed MOUZ	30c	74$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.8	227	52.9%120 W · 107 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Tundra Esports	17c	73.09$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	461	50.8%234 W · 227 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a89…3e2abacked Tundra Esports	34c	62.14$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	300	41.3%124 W · 176 L	-10.2wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48ba…d81dbacked Tundra Esports	23c	58.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.48	563	43.9%247 W · 316 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Tundra Esports	42c	54.43$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.63	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked MOUZ	64c	54$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.58	209	54.5%114 W · 95 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf456…3855backed Tundra Esports	31c	53.21$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.35	173	37.6%65 W · 108 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed MOUZ	74c	52.55$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	194	40.7%79 W · 115 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageMOUZ won
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event