Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e1dbfe52d176f3febc6cd7337331ff20d1136acabd7ae052949cad898899fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, Tundra Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $676,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $812,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $676,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 502 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26bc…ce01backed MOUZ | 40c | 54,815$22,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,788.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed MOUZ | 41c | 34,000$13,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,060 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 31,678$18,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,689.83 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 29,954$18,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,180.91 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed MOUZ | 57c | 25,087$14,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750.2 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed MOUZ | 48c | 18,687$8,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,771.37 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed MOUZ | 40c | 16,765$6,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,058.98 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 40c | 12,027$4,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,206.84 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Tundra Esports | 34c | 11,510$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.45 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 10,654$6,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,268.79 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed MOUZ | 66c | 10,329$6,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,461.35 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,900 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed MOUZ | 50c | 9,295$4,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.25 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed MOUZ | 41c | 8,255$3,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,840.33 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 8,202$4,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,914.18 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…5cb1backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 8,195$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,959.97 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked MOUZ | 41c | 7,476$3,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,410.55 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Tundra Esports | 72c | 7,189$5,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,176.27 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…c32ebacked MOUZ | 42c | 6,947$2,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.74 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked MOUZ | 36c | 6,539$2,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,205.7 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 6,486$3,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,826.81 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 6,318$3,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,704.85 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Tundra Esports | 53c | 5,566$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,972.79 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 5,548$2,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.61 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked MOUZ | 48c | 5,477$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,861.39 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Tundra Esports | 60c | 5,470$3,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,260.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 5,469$2,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,795.54 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Tundra Esports | 63c | 5,432$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.3 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed MOUZ | 52c | 5,425$2,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.08 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Tundra Esports | 42c | 4,323$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.53 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed MOUZ | 77c | 4,129$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d22…4b50backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 4,006$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Tundra Esports | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 3,555$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.45 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 3,553$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.26 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked MOUZ | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.99 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Tundra Esports | 59c | 3,303$1,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.9 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910c…8decbacked Tundra Esports | 62c | 3,098$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Tundra Esports | 36c | 3,027$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.36 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 3,006$1,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.52 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Tundra Esports | 63c | 2,750$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.45 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 2,645$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 499 | 52.9%264 W · 235 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked MOUZ | 46c | 2,575$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.29 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked MOUZ | 52c | 2,552$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.2 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 2,530$1,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.18 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked MOUZ | 45c | 2,496$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.53 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed MOUZ | 44c | 2,291$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.83 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 2,275$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.24 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Tundra Esports | 42c | 2,267$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.33 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Tundra Esports | 44c | 2,194$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.43 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 2,177$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.62 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Tundra Esports | 34c | 2,010$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.09 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…30afbacked MOUZ | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked MOUZ | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed MOUZ | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.98 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Tundra Esports | 47c | 1,951$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.73 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,951$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.76 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,941$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.63 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked MOUZ | 56c | 1,939$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.58 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed MOUZ | 53c | 1,872$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.4 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tundra Esports | 50c | 1,863$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.12 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed MOUZ | 33c | 1,852$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.94 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,846$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.4 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked MOUZ | 28c | 1,792$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.32 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Tundra Esports | 57c | 1,616$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.86 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Tundra Esports | 52c | 1,535$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.69 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,492$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.01 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Tundra Esports | 59c | 1,488$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.69 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Tundra Esports | 51c | 1,481$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.17 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f73…1b52backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,444$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked MOUZ | 53c | 1,415$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.9 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2785…ce75backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 1,378$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.84 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed MOUZ | 79c | 1,369$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.96 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed MOUZ | 60c | 1,362$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.5 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked MOUZ | 67c | 1,307$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.08 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Tundra Esports | 30c | 1,277$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.38 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed MOUZ | 38c | 1,267$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.44 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Tundra Esports | 60c | 1,259$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.27 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed MOUZ | 41c | 1,216$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.6 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed MOUZ | 57c | 1,176$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.69 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,158$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.76 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked MOUZ | 44c | 1,109$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed MOUZ | 59c | 1,106$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.99 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed MOUZ | 58c | 1,100$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.52 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Tundra Esports | 36c | 1,087$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.48 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…be5fbacked Tundra Esports | 61c | 1,069$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed MOUZ | 45c | 1,068$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.5 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Tundra Esports | 41c | 1,044$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked MOUZ | 27c | 1,043$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.2 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked MOUZ | 45c | 1,041$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.5 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Tundra Esports | 49c | 1,033$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.28 | 583 | 46.3%270 W · 313 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9169…97d1backed MOUZ | 47c | 1,008$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Tundra Esports | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 557 | 51.7%288 W · 269 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Tundra Esports | 55c | 999.98$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed MOUZ | 52c | 998.83$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.44 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Tundra Esports | 62c | 997.22$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.42 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Tundra Esports | 58c | 975.61$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.25 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Tundra Esports | 74c | 975.52$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.71 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Dota 2: MOUZ vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 WinnerTundra Esports won
- Game Handicap: Tundra (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)MOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.