Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf15552b1d76ea211c1c687de72afa87dffd7b8e2968eeb85ccd0c874e532a779
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,284,575
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,376,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,284,575 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 592 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad2b…f091backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 308,621$19,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,369.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Spirit | 55c | 178,220$98,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,220.15 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 75,315$34,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,839.25 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 62,970$25,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,188 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…76adbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 62,693$28,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,210.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Team Spirit | 60c | 58,798$35,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,521.51 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 44,000$19,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,800 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 38,704$17,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,803.84 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit | 53c | 24,715$13,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,615.88 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Team Spirit | 55c | 24,498$13,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,143.65 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 21,922$11,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,125.75 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 19,929$9,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,466.31 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 18,194$9,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,347.64 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 17,913$6,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,986.24 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 16,468$6,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.41 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Team Spirit | 55c | 15,506$8,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,030.34 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 14,467$7,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,697.8 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Team Spirit | 60c | 12,665$7,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 11,618$5,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,460.65 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Team Spirit | 54c | 11,000$5,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,059.98 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Natus Vincere | 73c | 10,996$8,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,027.27 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Spirit | 27c | 10,930$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,978.93 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 10,446$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.69 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.98 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a5…4d0bbacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 9,810$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 9,041$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,841.71 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Spirit | 54c | 9,039$4,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,157.92 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 8,841$3,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,815.27 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 8,720$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,720.77 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 8,664$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982.33 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Spirit | 53c | 8,596$4,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.36 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 8,429$4,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.77 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 8,427$3,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,918.19 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 8,306$3,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,737.73 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Team Spirit | 60c | 8,125$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,270.92 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Spirit | 54c | 8,000$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Spirit | 55c | 7,890$4,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,558.63 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Team Spirit | 51c | 7,788$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,839.06 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 7,267$3,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,532.11 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 6,901$3,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.14 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 6,666$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 6,481$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,971.09 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Team Spirit | 54c | 6,447$3,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,941.58 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Team Spirit | 29c | 6,128$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,360.07 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Spirit | 54c | 5,955$3,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,739.52 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Natus Vincere | 6c | 5,863$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.88 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Natus Vincere | 34c | 5,835$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.78 | 376 | 32.2%121 W · 255 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 5,815$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.47 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Spirit | 55c | 5,814$3,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.96 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Team Spirit | 55c | 5,643$3,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.53 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Spirit | 64c | 5,357$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.48 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 5,190$1,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,736.67 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 4,493$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.07 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,467$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.01 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 67c | 4,428$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.85 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 4,114$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,892.63 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 39c | 4,107$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.73 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Spirit | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Spirit | 55c | 3,972$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.51 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,903$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.2 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,870$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,780.38 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 61c | 3,636$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.9 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc105…c1b0backed Team Spirit | 30c | 3,626$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Team Spirit | 44c | 3,619$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.3 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Spirit | 55c | 3,406$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.48 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 3,354$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.01 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 3,345$2,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.69 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed Team Spirit | 60c | 3,276$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.44 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…a179backed Team Spirit | 62c | 3,134$1,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.48 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 3,066$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.23 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 3,060$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,721.45 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Spirit | 54c | 2,972$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.34 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 2,950$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.37 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 39cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,901$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.6 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Spirit | 79c | 2,849$2,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.11 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,743$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.85 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed Team Spirit | 55c | 2,526$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.66 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,466$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.6 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 2,419$1,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.74 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team Spirit | 47c | 2,347$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.77 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Team Spirit | 55c | 2,293$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.73 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Spirit | 30c | 2,233$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.15 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,187$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.31 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,082$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.12 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,070$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.77 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 2,010$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.93 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Spirit | 53c | 1,977$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.4 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,972$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.12 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,914$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.12 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Team Spirit | 52c | 1,868$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.49 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 1,806$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.14 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 53c | 1,803$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.47 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Natus Vincere | 46c | 1,795$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.34 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,771$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.54 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Team Spirit | 55c | 1,742$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,741$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.33 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Spirit | 44c | 1,686$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.63 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team Spirit | 51c | 1,631$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.22 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,610$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.53 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.