Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d9e366f9dd267caa0b482a9cb9b7e4c98240169923358ce4fb963361d301fc2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $690,567
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $859,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $690,567 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 58c | 123,091$71,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,247.97 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 100,000$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,999.99 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 91,764$40,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,303.63 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Spirit | 57c | 35,575$20,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,298.76 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 24,963$10,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,734.28 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 22,221$12,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,761.59 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Spirit | 49c | 21,369$10,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,893.44 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 20,617$11,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,152.88 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 16,429$7,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,228.67 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 14,111$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.51 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Natus Vincere | 30c | 10,831$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,279.3 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 10,663$6,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,367.1 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Spirit | 54c | 9,992$5,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,596.11 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Team Spirit | 70c | 9,013$6,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,668.81 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Team Spirit | 74c | 8,922$6,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,329.01 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 6,495$2,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,637.87 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit | 59c | 6,311$3,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.61 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit | 54c | 5,011$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.21 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Spirit | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Natus Vincere | 1c | 4,888$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Spirit | 53c | 4,875$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.22 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Natus Vincere | 12c | 4,724$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.06 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Team Spirit | 57c | 4,523$2,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.62 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 77c | 4,342$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.14 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 58c | 4,337$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.4 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Team Spirit | 50c | 4,280$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.44 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Team Spirit | 17c | 3,468$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.33 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Natus Vincere | 56c | 3,122$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.37 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Spirit | 58c | 2,827$1,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.02 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…a179backed Team Spirit | 75c | 2,474$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.97 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 2,416$1,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.01 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Spirit | 57c | 2,350$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.49 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 2,264$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 2,262$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.01 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 2,261$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.53 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 2,248$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.05 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Spirit | 45c | 2,247$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.7 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Team Spirit | 78c | 2,154$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.38 | 148 | 54.7%81 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,106$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.48 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,077$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.77 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,966$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.11 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,941$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.01 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,905$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.57 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,888$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,866$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.19 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Spirit | 19c | 1,845$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.9 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Spirit | 58c | 1,808$1,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.54 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533e…47f4backed Natus Vincere | 55c | 1,780$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.78 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,768$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.89 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Team Spirit | 80c | 1,732$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.06 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 57c | 1,708$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.63 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,687$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,563$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.29 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,551$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.13 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d86…a6f9backed Natus Vincere | 59c | 1,549$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.34 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,520$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.84 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 1,519$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.44 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,500$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 1,493$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.74 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 1,486$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.54 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Team Spirit | 17c | 1,462$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.2 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 1,452$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.58 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,400$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,372$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.86 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,359$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.19 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Natus Vincere | 30c | 1,341$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.72 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit | 61c | 1,319$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.52 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,282$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.47 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,258$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.06 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Team Spirit | 32c | 1,220$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.92 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 59c | 1,211$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.83 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Spirit | 55c | 1,202$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d8…89f5backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 1,200$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.38 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Team Spirit | 72c | 1,191$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.54 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Team Spirit | 56c | 1,190$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,096$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.23 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Natus Vincere | 8c | 1,091$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 1,051$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.76 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,048$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 1,035$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.1 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…e467backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 1,031$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 1,025$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…d154backed Team Spirit | 54c | 1,015$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,002$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.78 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Spirit | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 952.86$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Spirit | 50c | 942$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 940$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Team Spirit | 14c | 927.93$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.02 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 75c | 926$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.29 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Natus Vincere | 58c | 914.94$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.26 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Team Spirit | 56c | 914.26$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.28 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Team Spirit | 61c | 911.52$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.23 | 131 | 57.3%75 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 907.01$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.96 | 338 | 45.6%154 W · 184 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…d1e5backed Team Spirit | 54c | 900$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…3b40backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 899.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team Spirit | 54c | 880.21$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.9 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Game Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.