World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x484307c5395a6938b4ccf624fd5fd050f9edb5bfd1481d18f15f9cc2aba37b6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 17c | 584.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.27 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…3538backed Yes | 80c | 571.41$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 51c | 559.1$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.26 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 20c | 408.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.53 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 36c | 288.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 41c | 260.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 60c | 248.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 45c | 240.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.26 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 67c | 239.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 30c | 239$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 17c | 236.42$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 34c | 218.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 25c | 207.62$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 47c | 206.44$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 41c | 205.54$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 51c | 198.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 53c | 188.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 37c | 183.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…9c56backed Yes | 54c | 181.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 49c | 179.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 76c | 169.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 51c | 166.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 50c | 164.82$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 24c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…1ce2backed No | 35c | 155.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 45c | 155.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 17c | 152$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 48c | 149.82$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.39 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed No | 54c | 148.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 49c | 146.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.98 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 50c | 143.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 39c | 138.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 130$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.34 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 24c | 123.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900e…f6bfbacked Yes | 60c | 113.15$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 45c | 109.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 41c | 109.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.59 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 57c | 105.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…cb94backed Yes | 52c | 102.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ad…c0f9backed Yes | 49c | 101.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.28 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 35c | 99.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 28c | 98.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 55c | 98.16$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 54c | 91.74$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 40c | 91.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059f…d749backed No | 47c | 88.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…2e40backed Yes | 47c | 88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 56c | 87.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 55c | 86.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 44c | 81.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 72c | 79.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 47c | 76.56$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 47c | 72.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…a908backed No | 40c | 71.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 50c | 71.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 180 | 35.6%64 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54c…2c69backed Yes | 39c | 71.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 49c | 71.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 41c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…ec29backed No | 57c | 69.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 69.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 49c | 69.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Yes | 75c | 66.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 49c | 65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Yes | 56c | 64.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 56c | 62.53$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 43c | 61.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 60.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 64c | 60.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…f35fbacked No | 49c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d6…13e2backed Yes | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 59.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 54c | 59.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e8…c091backed No | 58c | 59.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 41c | 59.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 59c | 55.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 47c | 54.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…d203backed Yes | 76c | 53.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 27c | 53.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 37c | 53.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…6a56backed Yes | 47c | 53.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 42c | 53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 51c | 52.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 28c | 51.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b72…a958backed No | 58c | 51.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4230…152ebacked No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df1…3661backed Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.