World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb09acceb9cff414671b3d8b9d6daf9d89206e062e3977fffb4d60c7cf9b655c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe41…556cbacked Yes | 4c | 10,581$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb20…d921backed Yes | 0c | 10,005$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…45e5backed Yes | 0c | 2,307$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 34c | 804.4$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.9 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1387…24a7backed Yes | 21c | 779.53$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 72c | 760.14$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.61 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 28c | 449.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…9c56backed Yes | 35c | 435.19$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.72 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 50cpaid | +137.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 77c | 433.3$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.85 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 422.33$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.84 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 21c | 413.92$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.33 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 65c | 397.18$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.58 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 64c | 387.59$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.27 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +10.5wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbda1…827fbacked Yes | 33c | 331.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…a3fcbacked No | 68c | 300.38$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…97e1backed Yes | 8c | 295.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 34c | 294.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 9c | 268.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…171fbacked Yes | 30c | 259.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.33 | 107 | 33.6%36 W · 71 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 68c | 256.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 74c | 239$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.59 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9d…cb94backed Yes | 31c | 222.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 66c | 219.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 17c | 213.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a65…5b95backed Yes | 50c | 208.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…1ce2backed Yes | 39c | 206.3$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 63c | 204.94$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed Yes | 19c | 203.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac6c…ff17backed Yes | 31c | 202.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.79 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 79c | 200.84$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 70c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…0c2fbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 74c | 197.63$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed No | 70c | 197.49$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 15c | 182.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 16c | 170$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 20c | 167$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90b…ca12backed Yes | 50c | 160.89$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 68c | 160.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3478…d770backed Yes | 31c | 159.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 69c | 153.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…a5a5backed No | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…c1b2backed Yes | 27c | 149.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 15c | 139.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 24c | 138.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 394 | 14%55 W · 339 L | -71.9wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 25c | 111.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 103.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 15c | 100.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +111.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b4…48b2backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 148 | 42.6%63 W · 85 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.62 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe587…dc56backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 57c | 99.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 15c | 99.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 392 | 31.9%125 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed No | 72c | 96.92$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 24c | 95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 74c | 94.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 181 | 58%105 W · 76 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 33c | 91.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 62c | 91.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.96 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed Yes | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 72c | 90.61$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 18c | 87.72$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 70c | 86.43$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1aa…de3abacked Yes | 46c | 85.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 77c | 84.93$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8842…dfa7backed Yes | 34c | 84.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 67c | 84.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 37c | 81.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 78c | 81.62$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 62c | 80.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 78c | 80.27$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…ca4abacked No | 49c | 79.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 55c | 79.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 237 | 23.2%55 W · 182 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 27c | 75.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 75.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…4ca0backed Yes | 39c | 74.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 41c | 73.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94d…cdffbacked Yes | 28c | 73$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…aae2backed No | 70c | 71.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…65d5backed Yes | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 15c | 65.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5e…9fa5backed Yes | 28c | 65.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6548…9108backed Yes | 23c | 64.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b42…ba1abacked Yes | 36c | 63.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 27c | 60.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…3b47backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 59.67$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 75 | 82.7%62 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 75c | 55.2$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 20c | 52.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 78c | 51.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 50.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 144 | 67.4%97 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…64f6backed No | 79c | 50.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 63c | 50.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 69c | 47.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 24c | 45.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on May 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.