Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10eba5e06fdd70263504dc24655c58357adbe839ff280477afa14a38b277c7b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Over | 58c | 7,385$4,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,094.42 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 42c | 5,798$2,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.69 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 42c | 1,483$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.95 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Over | 56c | 1,247$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.81 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 41c | 1,059$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.61 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…4e1abacked Under | 42c | 673.42$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 57c | 550.11$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.55 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 53c | 478.13$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.41 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Under | 42c | 449.13$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.63 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa500…39d1backed Over | 58c | 349.98$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.99 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Under | 44c | 289.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.56 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…d788backed Under | 42c | 282.89$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.81 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed Under | 42c | 253.85$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 42c | 241.3$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c42…f48cbacked Under | 42c | 198.83$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.51 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f3…2d9dbacked Under | 42c | 197.64$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…3538backed Over | 59c | 177.47$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed Under | 41c | 140.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.56 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 58c | 105$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked Over | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.25 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 59c | 66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 43c | 48.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed Under | 42c | 36.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)FlyQuest won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsFlyQuest won
- LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.