Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f83beb47432cb2bbc018a7c2febb57eaeff43b5f4b56c73cb178f0ecb1f6310
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FlyQuestof LYON, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed LYON | 47c | 14,110$6,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,614.2 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked FlyQuest | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,700 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed FlyQuest | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed FlyQuest | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.98 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed FlyQuest | 56c | 905.61$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.47 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked FlyQuest | 56c | 764.97$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.59 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed FlyQuest | 56c | 613.37$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.88 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FlyQuest | 52c | 570.83$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked LYON | 48c | 532.84$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.76 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked LYON | 45c | 466.09$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.74 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…a62cbacked LYON | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed FlyQuest | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.52 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked LYON | 45c | 290.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.71 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 246.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd037…5ea2backed LYON | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -10.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a31…388cbacked FlyQuest | 56c | 208.63$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed LYON | 45c | 206.18$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 193.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked FlyQuest | 56c | 182.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…34e9backed LYON | 47c | 164.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 775 | 45%349 W · 426 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed LYON | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed LYON | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…03cbbacked FlyQuest | 56c | 85.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 177 | 45.2%80 W · 97 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed FlyQuest | 55c | 79.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked LYON | 45c | 47.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed FlyQuest | 56c | 36.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 170 | 40%68 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed FlyQuest | 56c | 25.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked FlyQuest | 57c | 20.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs FlyQuest (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier PlayoffsFlyQuest won
- LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 WinnerFlyQuest won
- LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 2 WinnerFlyQuest won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.