Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e639f6c19bb5f595f20d2b0cf5d8b616495384f7805c89a116f1891a969186f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof Aurora, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $935,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,050,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $935,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 644 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 46c | 36,449$16,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,575.01 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 71c | 28,372$20,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,135.96 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 38c | 27,997$10,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,476.34 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 60c | 19,670$11,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,717.67 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 43c | 19,399$8,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,297.43 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Aurora | 71c | 17,927$12,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,253.55 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 53c | 17,151$9,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,003.47 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 16,817$8,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,662.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Aurora | 79c | 14,152$11,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.5 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 13,132$5,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,804.63 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 37c | 13,003$4,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,191.7 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed PARIVISION | 67c | 11,341$7,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,545.37 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fac…1feebacked PARIVISION | 69c | 10,001$6,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,868.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…6802backed Aurora | 60c | 9,981$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,992.61 | 130 | 68.5%89 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…2d89backed Aurora | 50c | 9,164$4,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,582.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed PARIVISION | 50c | 9,105$4,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,548.64 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 39cpaid | +200.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 62c | 8,972$5,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,552.64 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 56c | 8,668$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.84 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…7260backed PARIVISION | 68c | 7,995$5,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,458.09 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 38c | 7,591$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,702.82 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Aurora | 31c | 7,335$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed PARIVISION | 66c | 6,857$4,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,525.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Aurora | 50c | 6,694$3,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,347 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 6,599$2,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.55 | 175 | 46.9%82 W · 93 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 71c | 6,586$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,898.37 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 6,522$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900.71 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Aurora | 67c | 6,319$4,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.46 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…30afbacked Aurora | 56c | 6,143$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.55 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 5,548$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.87 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fea1backed PARIVISION | 65c | 5,410$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,516.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Aurora | 61c | 5,231$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.65 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed PARIVISION | 58c | 5,104$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,963.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PARIVISION | 54c | 5,068$2,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,737.65 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed PARIVISION | 65c | 5,050$3,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,282.61 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…5cb1backed Aurora | 60c | 5,003$2,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.92 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 4,998$2,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.26 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 54c | 4,597$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,482.54 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 54c | 4,523$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,442.35 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…5947backed PARIVISION | 43c | 4,500$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.51 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 35c | 4,378$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,851.76 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked PARIVISION | 7c | 4,128$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.93 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed PARIVISION | 55c | 4,057$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.44 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 39c | 3,902$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.41 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 62c | 3,824$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.52 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 39c | 3,728$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Aurora | 47c | 3,627$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.82 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed PARIVISION | 38c | 3,601$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.84 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Aurora | 57c | 3,500$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed PARIVISION | 43c | 3,380$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.53 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…eb1bbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 3,342$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.62 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Aurora | 58c | 3,285$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,379.78 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Aurora | 47c | 3,179$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.72 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…a4e2backed PARIVISION | 62c | 3,127$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8261…a3f1backed PARIVISION | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 32c | 3,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora | 37c | 2,887$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.56 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Aurora | 80c | 2,883$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.37 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Aurora | 34c | 2,833$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,869.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Aurora | 80c | 2,758$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.51 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 2,751$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.29 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked PARIVISION | 42c | 2,742$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.77 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION | 21c | 2,738$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.98 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda34…01a8backed Aurora | 33c | 2,691$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,802.76 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 70c | 2,610$1,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.11 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed PARIVISION | 32c | 2,485$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.64 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 64c | 2,479$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.19 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 51c | 2,447$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.38 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 2,432$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.5 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 67c | 2,424$1,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.42 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Aurora | 34c | 2,350$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora | 40c | 2,332$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.09 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 32c | 2,302$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.27 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 52c | 2,250$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.49 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed PARIVISION | 49c | 2,234$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.86 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION | 36c | 2,225$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.95 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Aurora | 51c | 2,183$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.61 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Aurora | 41c | 2,150$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.49 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed PARIVISION | 46c | 2,109$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.53 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora | 63c | 2,090$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.55 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 43c | 2,076$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.57 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora | 58c | 2,007$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.52 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Aurora | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Aurora | 33c | 2,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Aurora | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Aurora | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,999$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.32 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 1,980$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.05 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 1,965$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.31 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 65c | 1,961$1,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.93 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed PARIVISION | 37c | 1,953$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.73 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed PARIVISION | 26c | 1,950$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Aurora | 43c | 1,947$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.61 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora | 35c | 1,930$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.54 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed PARIVISION | 22c | 1,911$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.81 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 1,895$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,231.49 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…2014backed PARIVISION | 67c | 1,892$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked PARIVISION | 31c | 1,887$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.17 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,878$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.11 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed PARIVISION | 63c | 1,816$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.81 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Aurora | 45c | 1,809$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.24 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.