Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x768c24bfc86ba03a2a053d20d43a81c1f7df4d6a4fb8bf2d31dfe96ead2f71d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Aurora, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $552,071
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $692,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $552,071 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 284 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 41c | 28,486$11,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,554.03 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8bf3backed PARIVISION | 63c | 14,800$9,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,475.99 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…0715backed PARIVISION | 67c | 14,589$9,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,784.76 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 61c | 14,380$8,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,589.95 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 1c | 14,296$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.16 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…2d89backed Aurora | 37c | 13,517$5,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,001.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Aurora | 36c | 13,508$4,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,862.87 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed PARIVISION | 62c | 12,435$7,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,711.26 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Aurora | 40c | 10,108$3,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,993.73 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed PARIVISION | 62c | 10,049$6,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.26 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed PARIVISION | 64c | 9,931$6,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,575.07 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed PARIVISION | 64c | 7,976$5,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,871.4 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 35c | 7,834$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.27 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 15c | 7,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.5 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Aurora | 28c | 6,431$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.58 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 16c | 6,244$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.34 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 5,598$3,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.38 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 5,278$3,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.18 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Aurora | 37c | 5,183$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.66 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Aurora | 13c | 5,094$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.5 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 19c | 4,857$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.97 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 4,844$2,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,915.24 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd20f…2f35backed Aurora | 37c | 4,747$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,773.74 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 24c | 4,374$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.46 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 37c | 4,330$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.06 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 36c | 4,314$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.75 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 39c | 4,150$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.83 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Aurora | 36c | 4,111$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.9 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Aurora | 19c | 3,995$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.3 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 3,834$2,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.28 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 34c | 3,800$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 41c | 3,674$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.74 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 20c | 3,550$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.27 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 24c | 3,253$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.97 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Aurora | 45c | 3,132$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.63 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 64c | 3,058$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.7 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Aurora | 21c | 2,899$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.5 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 2,610$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.43 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Aurora | 7c | 2,500$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Aurora | 5c | 2,468$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Aurora | 37c | 2,406$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.04 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Aurora | 30c | 2,378$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.31 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 2,367$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.63 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aurora | 26c | 2,363$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.43 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 64c | 2,293$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.53 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 62c | 2,259$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.97 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 2,184$1,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.32 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PARIVISION | 64c | 2,062$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.4 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,952$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.58 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…55e8backed Aurora | 36c | 1,855$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.62 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…30afbacked PARIVISION | 64c | 1,836$1,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.7 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION | 62c | 1,576$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.93 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 31c | 1,562$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.2 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,506$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.15 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 17c | 1,429$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.43 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 37c | 1,413$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.63 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Aurora | 36c | 1,279$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.51 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,249$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.21 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Aurora | 39c | 1,235$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.7 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Aurora | 37c | 1,174$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.34 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e8…7b55backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,169$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 41c | 1,151$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.66 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 71c | 1,133$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.78 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,038$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.44 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Aurora | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…4cfabacked Aurora | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 75c | 989.96$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.49 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 40c | 915.8$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.32 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823b…59e9backed Aurora | 27c | 910.29$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.83 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…a903backed PARIVISION | 75c | 903.3$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Aurora | 29c | 853.06$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.01 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Aurora | 2c | 850$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Aurora | 39c | 800.19$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.31 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked PARIVISION | 55c | 793$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.85 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 790.38$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.12 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Aurora | 29c | 784.03$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.64 | 372 | 23.1%86 W · 286 L | -38.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4414…9474backed PARIVISION | 64c | 782.05$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.54 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked Aurora | 31c | 781.71$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.66 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked Aurora | 37c | 780.16$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.66 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked PARIVISION | 63c | 772.93$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked PARIVISION | 61c | 763.68$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.29 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 36c | 750$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed Aurora | 7c | 729.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed PARIVISION | 61c | 702.08$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.81 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed PARIVISION | 77c | 697.46$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…fbadbacked Aurora | 37c | 694.79$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.07 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora | 13c | 673.74$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 563 | 48.1%271 W · 292 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb278…3ba6backed Aurora | 36c | 668.96$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Aurora | 40c | 631.96$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Aurora | 44c | 610.72$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.93 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Aurora | 41c | 545.43$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.96 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 60c | 528.83$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.45 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…7307backed PARIVISION | 78c | 522.13$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PARIVISION | 66c | 520.54$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.41 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed PARIVISION | 75c | 519.27$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f0…2923backed Aurora | 37c | 516.34$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Aurora | 32c | 514.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Aurora | 7c | 505.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…7543backed PARIVISION | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageAurora won
- Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.