World Politics · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5df32efd49cf0f72257fb4af61a41c19ea60f241d5bafd2974db33d9df96d124
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66a2…3538backed Yes | 1c | 6,768$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,545$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…c848backed Yes | 0c | 4,237$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 68c | 911.68$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.98 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 55c | 698.48$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.78 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…1879backed No | 79c | 600$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 58c | 548.22$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 38c | 472.51$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.23 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 24c | 432.85$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.41 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 34c | 420.24$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.23 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 31c | 406.4$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…7cedbacked Yes | 39c | 357.43$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 33c | 328.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.11 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…c2c8backed Yes | 58c | 307.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 54c | 286.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 45c | 259.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 76c | 239.67$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 52c | 235.54$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.42 | 116 | 36.2%42 W · 74 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 48c | 235$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 7c | 231.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 9c | 227.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.85 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 34c | 227.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.59 | 406 | 48.8%198 W · 208 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 19c | 223$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.21 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…1363backed Yes | 50c | 222.11$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 10c | 206.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 104 | 14.4%15 W · 89 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 32c | 203.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 218 | 44%96 W · 122 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f7…b535backed Yes | 46c | 200$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 45c | 197.72$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.85 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 54c | 194.44$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 60c | 193.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.97 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 32c | 188.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.72 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 22c | 181.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.19 | 221 | 11.3%25 W · 196 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 56c | 174.46$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7355…a4febacked Yes | 48c | 165.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 39c | 164.41$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.78 | 275 | 21.8%60 W · 215 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 42c | 160$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf993…ad52backed Yes | 75c | 159.28$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 23c | 159.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 60c | 156.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 44c | 154.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.26 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 9c | 152.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.4 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa012…f896backed Yes | 40c | 146.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 51c | 139.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 43c | 138.51$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 186 | 38.2%71 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 46c | 124.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…a8f5backed Yes | 50c | 123$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…f6a0backed Yes | 62c | 120.23$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.8 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 42c | 119$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 27c | 118.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.85 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 40c | 115.27$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.21 | 441 | 38.1%168 W · 273 L | +27.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 40c | 114.95$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 51c | 114$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.14 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 31c | 109.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.87 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd313…2888backed No | 55c | 108.99$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 43c | 104.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 186 | 62.4%116 W · 70 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 61c | 102.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.88 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.8 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 31c | 99.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…e5debacked No | 54c | 98.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.44 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 22c | 98.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 49c | 96.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.46 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…5e0cbacked No | 46c | 95.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 43c | 85.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d8…a908backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 55c | 77.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 33c | 77.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 131 | 55.7%73 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…9d29backed Yes | 56c | 75.1$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 70c | 74.79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 32c | 73.12$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.78 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 71.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2559…cb18backed No | 15c | 70.56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +629.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 74c | 69$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.79 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9e…8d54backed No | 58c | 69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…ef3fbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed No | 34c | 67.49$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 51c | 65.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b50…c9babacked Yes | 76c | 60.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.83 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 167 | 38.3%64 W · 103 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7782…f35fbacked No | 48c | 59.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 63c | 58.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 56c | 56.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 49c | 56.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 26c | 55.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 26c | 55.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3942…39d7backed No | 23c | 54.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.32 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 58c | 52.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 47c | 50.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 39c | 48.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…c1bfbacked Yes | 63c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa556…ed9abacked Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6086…a5f9backed No | 44c | 44.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…a35dbacked Yes | 56c | 44.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 28?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 28?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on May 28?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C or higher on May 28?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.