TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof BetBoom Team, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$728,199
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$835,703

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $728,199 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 319 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked BetBoom Team46c260,419$121,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,051.0928748.8%140 W · 147 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Team Falcons53c179,329$95,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84,107.2212560%75 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team46c57,322$26,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,218.161,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb042…204cbacked Team Falcons53c27,851$14,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,976.224055%22 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9eca…5a59backed BetBoom Team58c21,566$12,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,566.0640051.5%206 W · 194 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed BetBoom Team47c20,702$9,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,755.6924153.1%128 W · 113 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed BetBoom Team54c19,667$10,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,705.0871454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons54c14,725$7,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,726.1322848.2%110 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons55c12,064$6,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,439.4489440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed BetBoom Team50c11,827$5,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,908.4742650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed BetBoom Team46c10,873$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.4327153.5%145 W · 126 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Falcons55c10,279$5,638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.3689741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Team Falcons53c10,252$5,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,768.5129042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed Team Falcons53c10,000$5,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Falcons54c9,000$4,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,169.9941944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed Team Falcons39c8,457$3,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,116.3847046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Falcons55c8,414$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,792.181,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Team Falcons55c7,884$4,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.5243049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed BetBoom Team46c7,132$3,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,296.3656955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked BetBoom Team47c7,126$3,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.8834544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Falcons50c7,018$3,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.8396557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Falcons36c6,253$2,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,024.449630.2%29 W · 67 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed BetBoom Team46c6,207$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.225248.8%123 W · 129 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Team Falcons55c6,034$3,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,715.6425549%125 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Falcons55c5,976$3,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,667.481,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons46c5,973$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,252.272,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons46c5,833$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,162.741,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Falcons46c5,770$2,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,099.871,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Falcons54c5,641$3,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,580.1880256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Team Falcons54c5,634$3,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,597.1316248.8%79 W · 83 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Falcons46c5,349$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8651,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Falcons55c5,340$2,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,421.6527143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…554bbacked Team Falcons69c5,210$3,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,625.3510262.7%64 W · 38 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Falcons50c5,162$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.0143344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…1c08backed BetBoom Team76c4,999$3,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,809.323450%17 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Falcons31c4,959$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,412.5251751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked BetBoom Team48c4,781$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.11,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed BetBoom Team66c4,590$3,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,014.6851049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Falcons53c4,464$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,092.2660349.9%301 W · 302 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Team Falcons55c4,449$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.839343.3%170 W · 223 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed BetBoom Team42c4,040$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.888539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Team Falcons54c4,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,84069644.5%310 W · 386 L-3.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802b…7d57backed Team Falcons54c3,986$2,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.28042.5%34 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadd4…15c2backed BetBoom Team42c3,724$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.652634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8479…40dfbacked Team Falcons34c3,616$1,229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.3110751.4%55 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Team Falcons54c3,608$1,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,663.113351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Team Falcons42c3,532$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,044.9625147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed BetBoom Team16c3,469$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.0548954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Falcons54c3,300$1,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.9922643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Team Falcons53c3,258$1,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.3726550.6%134 W · 131 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Falcons62c3,182$1,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.9260552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed BetBoom Team46c3,155$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.141351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Falcons54c2,935$1,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.4426843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Falcons54c2,861$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.8930336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Falcons50c2,730$1,362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.6252243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Team Falcons72c2,693$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$745.6938855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Falcons64c2,647$1,688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.9235758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c8f…4d12backed Team Falcons33c2,154$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.0735062.6%219 W · 131 L+44.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x13c7…11d9backed BetBoom Team46c2,014$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.6433541.2%138 W · 197 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed BetBoom Team46c2,002$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.919742.1%83 W · 114 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked BetBoom Team70c2,000$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4005637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Falcons32c2,000$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,359.9936547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…f473backed Team Falcons55c1,946$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.71560%9 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed BetBoom Team47c1,936$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.1149455.1%272 W · 222 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed BetBoom Team46c1,915$881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.7530647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Falcons45c1,868$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.324251.7%125 W · 117 L+21.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed BetBoom Team44c1,824$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.5129348.5%142 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Falcons45c1,818$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.1256548%271 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed BetBoom Team69c1,773$1,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,231.2950832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Team Falcons54c1,729$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.4858744%258 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Falcons50c1,672$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.1445139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked BetBoom Team45c1,654$748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747.6235951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe843…0699backed BetBoom Team40c1,517$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.811131.5%35 W · 76 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Team Falcons39c1,507$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.0448843.6%213 W · 275 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked Team Falcons53c1,500$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.9533867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked BetBoom Team79c1,481$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.667043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3601…44fbbacked Team Falcons44c1,472$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.1616954.4%92 W · 77 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Falcons54c1,363$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.4299844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Team Falcons8c1,239$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.2669132.6%225 W · 466 L-26.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed BetBoom Team12c1,205$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8314751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Team Falcons44c1,197$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.4655147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Falcons66c1,144$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.7645061.6%277 W · 173 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed BetBoom Team48c1,103$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.2411154.1%60 W · 51 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Falcons55c1,088$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.7555751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Team Falcons55c1,071$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.9457449%281 W · 293 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41a6…fbadbacked Team Falcons54c973.88$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.386949.3%34 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Team Falcons55c973$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8550769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d1…555dbacked Team Falcons45c942.14$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.865154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xab04…a00abacked Team Falcons50c942$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47137945.9%174 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked BetBoom Team53c923.5$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.941,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed Team Falcons43c903.93$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.2424636.6%90 W · 156 L-14.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed BetBoom Team57c854.13$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.867429.7%22 W · 52 L-7.9wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-29.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Team Falcons58c840.37$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.9717954.2%97 W · 82 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-8.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed BetBoom Team2c830$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.61040%0 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Team Falcons41c816.27$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.2596645.1%436 W · 530 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed Team Falcons48c794.46$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.9633644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf11e…3bc1backed Team Falcons52c769$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.1210741.1%44 W · 63 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Team Falcons16c742.45$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.3179341.7%331 W · 462 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed Team Falcons37c737.57$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.739042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Team Falcons49c731.72$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.7550749.7%252 W · 255 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.