Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98d84905cd09bbc21922c8afc081536ea8e766ada7587fa4151eb08b84a1a449
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,305,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,472,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,305,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 749 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 52c | 116,123$60,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,123.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 83,296$50,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,413.87 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 39c | 68,927$26,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,598.02 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…b1d5backed PARIVISION | 62c | 60,629$37,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,817.56 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 60c | 51,005$30,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,493.24 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078f…796cbacked Aurora | 42c | 47,636$19,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,924 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 55c | 46,500$25,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,536.45 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed PARIVISION | 79c | 40,230$31,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,448.36 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffe9…a70ebacked Aurora | 44c | 30,000$13,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,199.99 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 53c | 28,013$14,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,954.92 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 25,173$13,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,384.98 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 30c | 25,000$7,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,549.99 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Aurora | 53c | 24,023$12,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,666.63 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x594d…059dbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 22,851$13,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,644.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,000 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 38c | 19,377$7,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,364.72 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed PARIVISION | 46c | 18,798$8,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,202.58 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora | 41c | 17,549$7,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,117.72 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 45c | 16,111$7,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,861.03 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 42c | 15,803$6,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,692 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 49c | 15,265$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,724.36 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 49c | 13,847$6,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,810.93 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…36bebacked Aurora | 13c | 13,823$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.36 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 56c | 12,350$6,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912.05 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 11,781$5,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,223.02 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 46c | 11,766$5,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,306.97 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed Aurora | 38c | 11,265$4,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,280.7 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 44c | 10,860$4,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.56 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 10,494$6,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,905.4 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 38c | 10,448$3,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,997.23 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora | 37c | 10,370$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,886.03 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 47c | 10,001$4,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.87 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 10,000$4,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.55 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PARIVISION | 44c | 9,950$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,561.68 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed PARIVISION | 63c | 9,484$5,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,509.03 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked PARIVISION | 63c | 9,405$5,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.76 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 49c | 8,404$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,326.97 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 53c | 8,202$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.03 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 52c | 7,854$4,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.97 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 7,623$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550.51 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 7,506$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.28 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 16c | 7,484$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.72 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed PARIVISION | 68c | 7,306$4,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.05 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed PARIVISION | 54c | 6,627$3,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.02 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Aurora | 31c | 6,599$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.51 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Aurora | 48c | 6,479$3,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,110 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 6,478$3,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,005.3 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed PARIVISION | 52c | 6,466$3,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,111 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked PARIVISION | 55c | 6,250$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,829.67 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Aurora | 21c | 5,942$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.99 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Aurora | 44c | 5,816$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.52 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7484…de96backed Aurora | 34c | 5,745$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,969.35 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c6b0backed PARIVISION | 60c | 5,684$3,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,273.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION | 44c | 5,398$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.24 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 60c | 5,396$3,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,227 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Aurora | 56c | 5,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 5,300$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.38 | 591 | 54%319 W · 272 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 38c | 5,286$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 47c | 5,013$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.79 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.04 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…d97bbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Aurora | 20c | 4,680$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 410 | 42.4%174 W · 236 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 44c | 4,647$2,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,060.07 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…0632backed Aurora | 21c | 4,641$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 42c | 4,600$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…37fcbacked Aurora | 21c | 4,527$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 4,444$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,715.62 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed PARIVISION | 46c | 4,226$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.85 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora | 24c | 4,107$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.2 | 928 | 46.2%429 W · 499 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked PARIVISION | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.99 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 47c | 3,968$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.48 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b7…500fbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 3,853$1,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.99 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed Aurora | 54c | 3,763$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.54 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 3,275$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.05 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 3,213$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.55 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked PARIVISION | 56c | 3,164$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.29 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 36c | 3,000$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.28 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…8826backed Aurora | 17c | 2,990$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora | 7c | 2,843$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 2,724$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.85 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 44c | 2,616$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.99 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed PARIVISION | 69c | 2,602$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.76 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora | 57c | 2,572$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.64 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed Aurora | 17c | 2,560$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.92 | 474 | 57.4%272 W · 202 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…6fc2backed PARIVISION | 60c | 2,559$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,524$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.56 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,513$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.1 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…0619backed PARIVISION | 79c | 2,508$1,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 55c | 2,503$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.5 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed Aurora | 38c | 2,278$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.07 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd5…755ebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 2,243$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 56cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Aurora | 44c | 2,238$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 2,207$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.9 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION | 46c | 2,176$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.25 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 55c | 2,150$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.5 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 14c | 2,092$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.47 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Aurora | 55c | 2,059$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 2,010$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.6 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7974…5ddcbacked Aurora | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,956$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.29 | 122 | 48.4%59 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.