Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0e065f8dc594b166a4497ae9e143397f3b8495226568656def4de63ffeb3f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof PARIVISION, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $812,009
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $976,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $812,009 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 418 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 55c | 144,016$79,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,861.22 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 43c | 67,782$28,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,894.55 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed PARIVISION | 59c | 51,539$30,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,530.77 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION | 51c | 33,970$17,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,245.06 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 28,250$15,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,299.96 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 48c | 25,708$12,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,371.05 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora | 43c | 21,850$9,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,517.5 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked PARIVISION | 47c | 19,706$9,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,167.06 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 47c | 19,507$9,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,283.82 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 48c | 18,951$9,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,854.58 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 48c | 16,342$7,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,491.88 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Aurora | 40c | 15,000$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 54c | 14,683$7,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.8 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 43c | 14,000$6,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,980 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION | 55c | 12,913$7,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,123.01 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Aurora | 41c | 12,849$5,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,580.74 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 45c | 12,216$5,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,463.34 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora | 47c | 12,117$5,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,464.27 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 46c | 10,985$5,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,911.8 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 56c | 10,397$5,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,604.79 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 44c | 10,265$4,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,743.09 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500f…94bfbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 10,205$4,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,968.34 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,900 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 52c | 9,858$5,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,768.22 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Aurora | 51c | 9,562$4,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.79 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora | 50c | 9,518$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,762.6 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 50c | 9,281$4,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,681.9 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd525…1815backed Aurora | 48c | 9,029$4,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.44 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 47c | 9,000$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776.53 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 56c | 8,885$5,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.34 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 49c | 8,828$4,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,466.03 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PARIVISION | 53c | 8,744$4,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.56 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 64c | 8,142$5,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.96 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION | 57c | 7,700$4,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,413 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 48c | 7,344$3,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.75 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Aurora | 47c | 7,062$3,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,709.61 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 49c | 6,796$3,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,472.37 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 45c | 6,667$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,666.67 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 6,500$3,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,455.85 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Aurora | 61c | 6,485$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,508.29 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 61c | 6,465$3,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.26 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 48c | 5,999$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 47c | 5,996$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,200.99 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed PARIVISION | 43c | 5,853$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.14 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION | 55c | 5,428$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.21 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 59c | 4,790$2,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.07 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed PARIVISION | 52c | 4,717$2,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.37 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 4,451$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.54 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 3,998$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.3 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked Aurora | 53c | 3,933$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.99 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed PARIVISION | 47c | 3,721$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.42 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 42c | 3,632$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.73 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 43c | 3,454$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,968.76 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 46c | 3,449$1,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.95 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 50c | 3,222$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.32 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 47c | 3,146$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,667.26 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Aurora | 54c | 2,894$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.08 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 50c | 2,707$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,342.23 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,559$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.66 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…febfbacked Aurora | 62c | 2,535$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.61 | 216 | 50.9%110 W · 106 L | -25.3wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 46c | 2,533$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,378.81 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 44c | 2,500$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.99 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 54c | 2,450$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Aurora | 59c | 2,440$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.39 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Aurora | 53c | 2,348$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.87 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,250$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.5 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed PARIVISION | 52c | 2,250$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.48 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Aurora | 42c | 2,058$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.26 | 647 | 44.4%287 W · 360 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 58c | 2,055$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.04 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 2,019$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed Aurora | 42c | 1,931$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.44 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 43c | 1,915$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.43 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…4e03backed PARIVISION | 58c | 1,902$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.08 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 46c | 1,835$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.1 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Aurora | 55c | 1,805$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.74 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Aurora | 54c | 1,802$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.85 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Aurora | 44c | 1,786$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 944 | 42.3%399 W · 545 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 45c | 1,785$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.47 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Aurora | 44c | 1,750$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 1,699$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.16 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,677$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.89 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,673$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…36bebacked PARIVISION | 51c | 1,620$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Aurora | 44c | 1,600$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.16 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…153cbacked Aurora | 56c | 1,566$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.69 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Aurora | 42c | 1,566$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.85 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,457$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.79 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Aurora | 53c | 1,443$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.46 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,375$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766 | 228 | 68%155 W · 73 L | +15.4wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,374$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.5 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Aurora | 46c | 1,313$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.74 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 53c | 1,302$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.71 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,300$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.06 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed PARIVISION | 47c | 1,288$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.63 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.