Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d8f911c332e0ee79c19141a609a6b9886c8c7d0816374472c0d6043e3a7befd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $845,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $954,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $845,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 56c | 150,798$85,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,798.44 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 42c | 51,681$21,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,944.72 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 47c | 37,000$17,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,492.18 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 55c | 36,684$20,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,632.58 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed PARIVISION | 51c | 31,446$15,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,486.47 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked PARIVISION | 32c | 24,420$7,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,693.49 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 53c | 20,500$10,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,634.99 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed PARIVISION | 60c | 19,486$11,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,815.95 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 18,614$10,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,502.58 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Aurora | 65c | 16,939$11,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,003.29 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Aurora | 42c | 16,371$6,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,875.78 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Aurora | 45c | 15,675$7,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,020.41 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 47c | 15,162$7,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,125.21 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 39c | 13,430$5,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,184.5 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Aurora | 48c | 13,148$6,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,344.57 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 51c | 11,998$6,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,096.4 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 45c | 11,806$5,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,358.59 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 44c | 11,501$5,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.5 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 41c | 11,271$4,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.44 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 41c | 10,000$4,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,050 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 44c | 9,480$4,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,190.3 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 55c | 9,121$5,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,117.67 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION | 56c | 8,900$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 46c | 8,293$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.43 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 39c | 8,034$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.77 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 7,500$3,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 21c | 7,179$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.53 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Aurora | 56c | 6,649$3,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,723.42 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed PARIVISION | 57c | 6,632$3,792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.74 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed Aurora | 63c | 6,610$4,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,133 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 48c | 6,020$2,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880.51 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Aurora | 51c | 5,792$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Aurora | 44c | 5,545$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.54 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 5,293$3,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.74 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 49c | 5,285$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 4,982$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,285.16 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 46c | 4,456$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked Aurora | 74c | 4,362$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.04 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed PARIVISION | 52c | 4,161$2,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010.99 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked PARIVISION | 55c | 4,147$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.35 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked PARIVISION | 52c | 4,035$2,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,933.66 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 51c | 3,959$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.09 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 52c | 3,925$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.68 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION | 55c | 3,783$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.58 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed PARIVISION | 54c | 3,687$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,713.56 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 45c | 3,576$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.29 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed PARIVISION | 40c | 3,492$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.32 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Aurora | 54c | 3,473$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.39 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Aurora | 46c | 3,442$1,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.91 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Aurora | 58c | 3,438$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Aurora | 63c | 3,347$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.55 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 45c | 3,173$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.34 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 49c | 3,057$1,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.51 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 49c | 3,026$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Aurora | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,573$1,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.2 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9442…d97bbacked Aurora | 42c | 2,550$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 45c | 2,501$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.56 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,500$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,491$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.02 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Aurora | 43c | 2,200$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…e467backed Aurora | 43c | 2,167$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 30c | 2,164$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,522.4 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x968a…3841backed Aurora | 50c | 2,053$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.96 | 209 | 39.2%82 W · 127 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed PARIVISION | 54c | 2,050$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.94 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 53c | 1,997$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$948.49 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Aurora | 20c | 1,843$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.6 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Aurora | 40c | 1,830$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.6 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 41c | 1,806$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.53 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Aurora | 52c | 1,800$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 42c | 1,750$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.5 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Aurora | 38c | 1,730$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.5 | 276 | 37.3%103 W · 173 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked PARIVISION | 65c | 1,658$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.18 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed Aurora | 66c | 1,655$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Aurora | 73c | 1,645$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed PARIVISION | 31c | 1,570$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.99 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Aurora | 49c | 1,554$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.37 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 63c | 1,480$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.82 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,442$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.44 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…4e03backed PARIVISION | 50c | 1,424$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.22 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora | 25c | 1,413$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.68 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7974…5ddcbacked Aurora | 40c | 1,375$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora | 62c | 1,354$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.09 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 1,304$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.66 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,260$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.69 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,252$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.54 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Aurora | 52c | 1,250$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.21 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 1,250$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.99 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION | 34c | 1,250$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.98 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed PARIVISION | 54c | 1,213$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.2 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Aurora | 55c | 1,203$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.95 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed Aurora | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Aurora | 43c | 1,168$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.22 | 569 | 49%279 W · 290 L | +34.0wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Aurora | 45c | 1,165$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.34 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,142$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.04 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 47c | 1,117$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.32 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.