Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb71e954d58a0a4911a0d0011f5e82092a8b4061f1d893833b6cfe8621daa986
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $606,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $737,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $606,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 59c | 116,233$68,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,033.16 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 41c | 74,596$30,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,584.26 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed PARIVISION | 58c | 36,726$21,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,424.78 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 43c | 26,750$11,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,616.61 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc370…8539backed Aurora | 0c | 23,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 21,216$12,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,477.86 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 38c | 16,733$6,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,363.08 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Aurora | 41c | 15,000$6,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,150 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 42c | 13,200$5,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,602.92 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 44c | 12,883$5,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,607.19 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 76c | 12,821$9,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.04 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 42c | 12,071$5,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.65 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 42c | 11,836$4,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,975 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed PARIVISION | 73c | 11,658$8,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,146.8 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed PARIVISION | 57c | 9,994$5,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,284.66 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 42c | 9,284$3,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,920.81 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Aurora | 41c | 8,731$3,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 64c | 7,834$5,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,831.69 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed PARIVISION | 78c | 7,750$6,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION | 64c | 7,600$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.95 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 60c | 6,951$4,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.92 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 46c | 6,480$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,957 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 42c | 5,000$2,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,095.5 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 4,976$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.9 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 44c | 4,455$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.74 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION | 63c | 4,303$2,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.35 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 44c | 4,283$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 37c | 4,173$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 58c | 4,029$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.13 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked PARIVISION | 61c | 3,892$2,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521.99 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 58c | 3,844$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.23 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Aurora | 43c | 3,674$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked Aurora | 39c | 3,500$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.99 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.9 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora | 44c | 3,215$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PARIVISION | 62c | 3,044$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.93 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Aurora | 47c | 2,985$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Aurora | 34c | 2,953$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.31 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 34c | 2,844$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.1 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 34c | 2,705$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.4 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 59c | 2,656$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.18 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Aurora | 38c | 2,644$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.39 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 8c | 2,573$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 42c | 2,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 40c | 2,327$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.4 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Aurora | 42c | 2,326$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.74 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 65c | 2,307$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.45 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Aurora | 39c | 2,285$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.13 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 35c | 2,250$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Aurora | 47c | 2,149$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 46c | 2,124$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.43 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…d7cabacked PARIVISION | 63c | 2,111$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.82 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 62c | 2,100$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.97 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 44c | 1,967$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.97 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaac3…e467backed Aurora | 45c | 1,900$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.66 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 32c | 1,842$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.45 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed PARIVISION | 76c | 1,833$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.83 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 43c | 1,784$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.17 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Aurora | 44c | 1,759$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.55 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 1,638$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.5 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked PARIVISION | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora | 43c | 1,599$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.12 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION | 66c | 1,571$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.14 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Aurora | 40c | 1,550$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Aurora | 27c | 1,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.99 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 38c | 1,409$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.26 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Aurora | 42c | 1,348$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,337$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.71 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 80c | 1,318$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.57 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,312$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.52 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,300$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.09 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…7918backed Aurora | 44c | 1,261$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Aurora | 38c | 1,254$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.38 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Aurora | 43c | 1,230$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.9 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 1,221$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.64 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…9945backed PARIVISION | 60c | 1,210$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.43 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,208$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.48 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 1,160$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.99 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 32c | 1,158$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.87 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Aurora | 42c | 1,152$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.69 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed PARIVISION | 62c | 1,150$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Aurora | 43c | 1,113$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.42 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked Aurora | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Aurora | 29c | 1,069$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.81 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…c244backed Aurora | 21c | 1,040$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.6 | 295 | 46.1%136 W · 159 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed PARIVISION | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,030$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.3 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b5…e607backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,014$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.66 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Aurora | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 58c | 999.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 991.53$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 268 | 46.6%125 W · 143 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Aurora | 39c | 958.59$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.2 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…08f6backed Aurora | 45c | 940.32$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.69 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 920.63$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 34c | 919.5$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.81 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.