Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2bc1e5ebdb81ae0556a508fe44db248a791e92e7e703b453b8a65d5c7deb9e48
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof PARIVISION, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,020,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,286,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 427 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked PARIVISION | 73c | 325,780$238,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238,793.5 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Aurora | 27c | 100,000$27,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,999.97 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 56c | 77,381$43,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,319.58 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Aurora | 40c | 37,521$15,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,512.57 | 226 | 44.7%101 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora | 29c | 37,480$10,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,761.19 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 29c | 37,250$10,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,353.78 | 800 | 56%448 W · 352 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Aurora | 27c | 30,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,900 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed PARIVISION | 61c | 24,949$15,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,096.94 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 66c | 24,865$16,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,287.72 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora | 23c | 20,000$4,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,485.7 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Aurora | 76c | 17,551$13,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,252.95 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked Aurora | 36c | 16,447$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,536.74 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Aurora | 36c | 15,918$5,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,110.77 | 1,179 | 43.1%508 W · 671 L | +41.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 66c | 13,764$9,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,065 | 1,197 | 59.2%709 W · 488 L | +63.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 27c | 12,679$3,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,259.87 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 27c | 12,000$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,802.58 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 32c | 10,900$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,435.03 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04e…75d9backed Aurora | 41c | 10,158$4,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,994.22 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Aurora | 49c | 10,157$4,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,224.36 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Aurora | 46c | 10,029$4,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,442.81 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Aurora | 51c | 10,019$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,939.87 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 30c | 10,000$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,967.26 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Aurora | 40c | 9,943$3,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,005.96 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Aurora | 26c | 8,233$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,130.7 | 893 | 41.5%371 W · 522 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed Aurora | 48c | 7,966$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165.53 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Aurora | 78c | 7,767$6,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.2 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed PARIVISION | 66c | 7,595$5,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.7 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed PARIVISION | 67c | 7,400$4,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.98 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 7,250$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,292.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Aurora | 28c | 7,225$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,216.6 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Aurora | 40c | 6,492$2,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.64 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Aurora | 29c | 6,432$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.55 | 612 | 56%343 W · 269 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed PARIVISION | 46c | 6,404$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.69 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…285dbacked Aurora | 27c | 6,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,380 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked Aurora | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,960 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 35c | 5,662$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,703.42 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Aurora | 60c | 5,579$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.97 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Aurora | 49c | 5,217$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.51 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Aurora | 28c | 5,000$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,614.06 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed PARIVISION | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Aurora | 34c | 4,953$1,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.95 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Aurora | 59c | 4,361$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.22 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Aurora | 31c | 4,074$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.31 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 4,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed PARIVISION | 57c | 3,850$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.6 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aurora | 54c | 3,796$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.51 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Aurora | 43c | 3,762$1,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.89 | 1,270 | 45.1%573 W · 697 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed PARIVISION | 67c | 3,750$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.99 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb665…ed24backed Aurora | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.37 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Aurora | 31c | 3,348$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.39 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed PARIVISION | 60c | 3,224$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.23 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Aurora | 48c | 3,101$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.37 | 791 | 59.4%470 W · 321 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Aurora | 30c | 3,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed Aurora | 30c | 2,999$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.15 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Aurora | 39c | 2,914$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775.35 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 2,900$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.8 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed PARIVISION | 77c | 2,800$2,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,156 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Aurora | 41c | 2,708$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.21 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad4d…dd89backed Aurora | 28c | 2,686$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.13 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…0619backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,671$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed PARIVISION | 77c | 2,500$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.12 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed PARIVISION | 73c | 2,500$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829.79 | 795 | 59.4%472 W · 323 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 2,497$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.11 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,300$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.98 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Aurora | 28c | 2,296$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.6 | 252 | 59.1%149 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Aurora | 26c | 2,265$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.59 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed PARIVISION | 67c | 2,238$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.44 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Aurora | 63c | 2,233$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.45 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bf…59e9backed PARIVISION | 33c | 2,093$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Aurora | 28c | 1,813$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,312.65 | 363 | 43.3%157 W · 206 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 1,795$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.7 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Aurora | 46c | 1,794$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.1 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ff…906cbacked Aurora | 27c | 1,785$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.04 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,700$1,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x611a…e171backed Aurora | 38c | 1,680$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.19 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 50c | 1,660$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Aurora | 52c | 1,589$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.59 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2495…28f5backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Aurora | 80c | 1,495$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.64 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Aurora | 57c | 1,437$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.7 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 1,316$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.04 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Aurora | 70c | 1,289$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.93 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Aurora | 30c | 1,272$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.65 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Aurora | 60c | 1,269$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.58 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Aurora | 40c | 1,232$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.28 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86ed…c1e5backed Aurora | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…37fcbacked Aurora | 37c | 1,186$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Aurora | 28c | 1,176$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.75 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef00…de7fbacked Aurora | 25c | 1,168$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked PARIVISION | 50c | 1,160$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked PARIVISION | 52c | 1,136$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.57 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce6…ba8bbacked Aurora | 29c | 1,130$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.72 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Aurora | 29c | 1,111$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.81 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed PARIVISION | 11c | 1,095$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed PARIVISION | 73c | 1,089$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.97 | 303 | 57.1%173 W · 130 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcc…b4fabacked Aurora | 38c | 1,016$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.24 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | +14.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Aurora | 27c | 1,015$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.74 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague PlayoffsPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 4 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-2.5) vs Aurora (+2.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.