Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1f3ca16c13e2b0ad7113c6e44d0195b882f565597aee802c3f6a838b822ca3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $363,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic | 44c | 86,977$38,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,667.78 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 56c | 30,249$17,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,245.12 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 57c | 24,980$14,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,741.4 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid | 54c | 19,330$10,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,891.86 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 56c | 15,039$8,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,624.63 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 31c | 11,657$3,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,670.79 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Heroic | 40c | 10,364$4,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,145.77 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Team Liquid | 56c | 9,972$5,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,419.84 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Liquid | 57c | 9,878$5,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,247.47 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Heroic | 34c | 7,018$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380.07 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 80c | 6,860$5,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.51 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 43c | 6,692$2,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,886.18 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 6,269$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.56 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 6,062$3,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,496.52 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Heroic | 44c | 4,880$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.34 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Heroic | 44c | 4,832$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,126.08 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Team Liquid | 57c | 4,801$2,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.45 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Heroic | 30c | 4,212$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.89 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Heroic | 38c | 4,003$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,509.03 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Liquid | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid | 66c | 3,401$2,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.01 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 64c | 3,339$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.16 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Heroic | 0c | 3,200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,122$1,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.98 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 55c | 3,099$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.46 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 3,031$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.88 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Heroic | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic | 41c | 2,546$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.72 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 2,485$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.29 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Heroic | 44c | 2,196$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.4 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,150$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Heroic | 42c | 2,069$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.68 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Heroic | 44c | 2,040$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.72 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Heroic | 44c | 2,015$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.71 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Heroic | 42c | 1,859$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.04 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,652$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.19 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 1,513$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…ba6dbacked Heroic | 44c | 1,347$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,315$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.52 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,306$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.73 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Heroic | 36c | 1,295$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.13 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Heroic | 17c | 1,196$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.29 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,187$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.4 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,088$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.65 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,025$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.95 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 33c | 995.85$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.91 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Heroic | 44c | 914.48$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.01 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Liquid | 54c | 868.77$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.63 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Liquid | 58c | 784.45$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.25 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a07…923fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 775.53$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.57 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 33c | 749.97$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.49 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb29a…bbdebacked Team Liquid | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Team Liquid | 55c | 727.42$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.34 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Heroic | 44c | 724.79$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.68 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Liquid | 55c | 700$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.56 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Liquid | 57c | 683.65$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 56c | 681$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.26 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 55c | 650$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Heroic | 43c | 647.49$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.06 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Heroic | 44c | 559.83$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.24 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Heroic | 3c | 553$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c1…8174backed Heroic | 19c | 549.77$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.27 | 249 | 47.8%119 W · 130 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…4b48backed Team Liquid | 55c | 525.42$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 517.86$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.69 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Heroic | 47c | 515.08$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.09 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed Team Liquid | 58c | 504.21$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.77 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Liquid | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed Team Liquid | 59c | 499.75$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.21 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Heroic | 44c | 496.12$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.41 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 478.55$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.78 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 461.83$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.17 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Team Liquid | 54c | 451.16$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.53 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…3538backed Team Liquid | 58c | 445.94$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.88 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 438.66$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.24 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Liquid | 68c | 414.61$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.42 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Team Liquid | 62c | 357.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 194 | 40.7%79 W · 115 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf29…da00backed Team Liquid | 61c | 352.73$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid | 58c | 337.03$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.09 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 325$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Heroic | 41c | 320.28$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.26 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic | 30c | 316.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.57 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 300$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 210 | 45.7%96 W · 114 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5e…13bebacked Team Liquid | 56c | 299.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Team Liquid | 66c | 296.85$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.93 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Heroic | 43c | 289.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.59 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Heroic | 43c | 289.68$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.6 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 35c | 270.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Heroic | 21c | 257.38$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 305 | 34.4%105 W · 200 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Team Liquid | 57c | 257.27$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Liquid | 55c | 250$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Heroic | 41c | 245.53$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.67 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 38c | 242.26$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Heroic | 44c | 241.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.3 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Liquid | 58c | 239.74$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.15 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Liquid | 59c | 232.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf456…3855backed Heroic | 6c | 232.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 173 | 37.6%65 W · 108 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.