Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa200b3054357b0cb83743dd64d77b421533d8ef0421a6ca9f169ecd88134d979
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,178
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,178 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic | 39c | 123,280$47,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,859.47 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid | 58c | 67,917$39,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,525.27 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heroic | 41c | 55,321$22,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,679.99 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5c…a375backed Team Liquid | 59c | 49,990$29,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,495.82 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 59c | 16,550$9,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,706 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Liquid | 61c | 6,916$4,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,697.19 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…ff15backed Heroic | 18c | 6,139$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.45 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8681…ef99backed Team Liquid | 61c | 5,902$3,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,321.71 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 5,208$3,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.5 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 805 | 44.6%359 W · 446 L | -25.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid | 73c | 3,391$2,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.83 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic | 19c | 3,250$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.49 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Heroic | 39c | 2,909$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.37 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,401$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.58 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 21c | 2,251$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.76 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Heroic | 19c | 2,069$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.78 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Team Liquid | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic | 44c | 1,879$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.86 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.91 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,465$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.82 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Heroic | 17c | 1,369$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.06 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,325$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.18 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Liquid | 58c | 1,200$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.28 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Heroic | 43c | 1,075$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.64 | 162 | 43.2%70 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac51…a1fbbacked Heroic | 1c | 1,048$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,031$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.01 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 1,000$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.06 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 18c | 999.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Heroic | 40c | 973.21$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.11 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5df…be7cbacked Heroic | 35c | 876.14$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 94 | 28.7%27 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid | 60c | 810.89$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.36 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84f…c9ecbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 788.06$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 769.62$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.94 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Heroic | 38c | 751.77$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Team Liquid | 79c | 700$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Liquid | 55c | 681.22$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.6 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Liquid | 61c | 670.74$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.59 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…2444backed Heroic | 15c | 601.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic | 41c | 599.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Team Liquid | 71c | 590.33$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Heroic | 41c | 588.41$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.25 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Liquid | 60c | 582.54$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic | 4c | 576.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid | 61c | 560.34$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.53 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Heroic | 6c | 502.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Heroic | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…0cdfbacked Heroic | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Heroic | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Heroic | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Heroic | 40c | 499.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Team Liquid | 70c | 469$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.87 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cc…ce77backed Team Liquid | 56c | 384.64$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Team Liquid | 64c | 384$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.7 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid | 80c | 373.32$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Liquid | 54c | 360.15$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.67 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…02d9backed Team Liquid | 80c | 329.54$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 327.12$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.85 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Team Liquid | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed Team Liquid | 62c | 316.36$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 25c | 297.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Heroic | 19c | 296.83$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.19 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 291.08$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.74 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Heroic | 28c | 282.72$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.14 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 19c | 265.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Liquid | 75c | 262.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Liquid | 79c | 261.81$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Liquid | 59c | 258.84$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.12 | 341 | 54.5%186 W · 155 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…fca1backed Heroic | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa01d…0123backed Heroic | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Heroic | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ea…4ff9backed Team Liquid | 76c | 240.63$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Heroic | 42c | 231.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed Heroic | 42c | 230.59$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.51 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Heroic | 6c | 222.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Team Liquid | 61c | 221.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic | 21c | 210.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…2625backed Team Liquid | 80c | 209.95$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Liquid | 62c | 206.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.43 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Liquid | 80c | 204.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Heroic | 44c | 204.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Heroic | 20c | 200.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Liquid | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Heroic | 41c | 192.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Heroic | 40c | 168.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Team Liquid | 58c | 165.7$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.82 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 280 | 62.9%176 W · 104 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…cce4backed Team Liquid | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Liquid | 59c | 154.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.36 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Team Liquid | 80c | 154.05$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 225 | 43.6%98 W · 127 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 27c | 151.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Heroic | 41c | 145.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.48 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…d703backed Team Liquid | 80c | 144.93$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Heroic | 10c | 144.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -16.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Heroic | 23c | 139.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Liquid | 80c | 138.87$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.78 | 108 | 33.3%36 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e51…71d4backed Heroic | 44c | 123.39$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0030…04e9backed Team Liquid | 54c | 122.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.29 | 341 | 52.2%178 W · 163 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.