TailMyPicks
Market

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$382,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$485,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic39c123,280$47,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,859.471,21057.1%691 W · 519 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Liquid58c67,917$39,392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,525.2716147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Heroic41c55,321$22,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,679.995549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed Team Liquid59c49,990$29,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,495.823438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid59c16,550$9,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,70689440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Team Liquid61c6,916$4,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,697.191729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-38.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x65b9…ff15backed Heroic18c6,139$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.451758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8681…ef99backed Team Liquid61c5,902$3,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,321.716746.3%31 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Liquid58c5,208$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,187.523653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Liquid58c3,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,47034544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Team Liquid59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43580544.6%359 W · 446 L-25.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed Team Liquid73c3,391$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.8343344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic19c3,250$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.4981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Heroic39c2,909$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.3714515.2%22 W · 123 L-16.5wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Team Liquid61c2,401$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.585565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic21c2,251$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.761,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a84…a46bbacked Heroic19c2,069$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.789044.4%40 W · 50 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Team Liquid58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8404161%25 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Team Liquid58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic44c1,879$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.8656852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Team Liquid59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.915964.4%38 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4574…273dbacked Team Liquid60c1,465$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.8212630.2%38 W · 88 L-13.5wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-31.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Heroic17c1,369$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0671342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Team Liquid64c1,325$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.188950.6%45 W · 44 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa32…bd9abacked Team Liquid59c1,200$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Team Liquid58c1,200$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.2818544.9%83 W · 102 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked Heroic43c1,075$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.6416243.2%70 W · 92 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac51…a1fbbacked Heroic1c1,048$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.523429.4%10 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Team Liquid62c1,031$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.0120740.1%83 W · 124 L-14.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Team Liquid59c1,000$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.061650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic18c999.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18085851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed Heroic40c973.21$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.112951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5df…be7cbacked Heroic35c876.14$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.089428.7%27 W · 67 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed Team Liquid60c810.89$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.3622363.2%141 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked Team Liquid62c788.06$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.461764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Team Liquid57c769.62$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.943351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Heroic38c751.77$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.674542.2%19 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed Team Liquid79c700$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1479850%49 W · 49 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Liquid55c681.22$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.626843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Liquid61c670.74$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.5923342.9%100 W · 133 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8b9…2444backed Heroic15c601.74$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed Heroic41c599.98$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.9965441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Team Liquid71c590.33$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.6756945.2%257 W · 312 L-18.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31d4…a7abbacked Heroic41c588.41$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.2516541.2%68 W · 97 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Team Liquid60c582.54$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1120350.7%103 W · 100 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Heroic4c576.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4537832.5%123 W · 255 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Liquid61c560.34$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5336654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe702…d88cbacked Heroic6c502.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.991145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Heroic18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd3…0cdfbacked Heroic30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Heroic40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Heroic39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Heroic40c499.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9951140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Team Liquid70c469$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.876949.3%34 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0cc…ce77backed Team Liquid56c384.64$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.242445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Team Liquid64c384$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.77650%38 W · 38 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Liquid80c373.32$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.351,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Team Liquid54c360.15$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6723347.2%110 W · 123 L-15.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x558a…02d9backed Team Liquid80c329.54$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.91955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Liquid60c327.12$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.859650%48 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2489…ee90backed Team Liquid61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.884643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed Team Liquid62c316.36$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.947856.4%44 W · 34 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic25c297.27$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.462,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Heroic19c296.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1936138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Team Liquid75c291.08$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.747954.4%43 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Heroic28c282.72$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.147830.8%24 W · 54 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic19c265.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.151,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Liquid75c262.84$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.838167.2%256 W · 125 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1816…2ee6backed Team Liquid79c261.81$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9837549.3%185 W · 190 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Team Liquid59c258.84$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.1234154.5%186 W · 155 L+15.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…fca1backed Heroic16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa01d…0123backed Heroic19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed Heroic39c247.03$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3424955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ea…4ff9backed Team Liquid76c240.63$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.12966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Heroic42c231.18$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.559254.1%320 W · 272 L+1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae35…5dd3backed Heroic42c230.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5115643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Heroic6c222.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8106…bd36backed Team Liquid61c221.05$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.218056.3%45 W · 35 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic21c210.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.92,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Team Liquid80c209.95$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.991361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Team Liquid62c206.39$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4351550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Team Liquid80c204.99$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4129466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Heroic44c204.7$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0339559%233 W · 162 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Heroic20c200.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.492334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed Team Liquid57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Heroic41c192.92$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.138649.5%191 W · 195 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Heroic40c168.7$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.4857735%202 W · 375 L-14.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2af…e3bcbacked Team Liquid58c165.7$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.829561.1%58 W · 37 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8232…d12fbacked Team Liquid61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4428062.9%176 W · 104 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f2…cce4backed Team Liquid61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.446832.4%22 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Liquid59c154.54$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3641050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Team Liquid80c154.05$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.3722543.6%98 W · 127 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic27c151.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.912,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Heroic41c145.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.485147.1%24 W · 27 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34cc…d703backed Team Liquid80c144.93$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.99875%6 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Heroic10c144.35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7511330.1%34 W · 79 L-16.7wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-46.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Heroic23c139.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.883622.2%8 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Team Liquid80c138.87$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7810833.3%36 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e51…71d4backed Heroic44c123.39$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.124949%24 W · 25 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0030…04e9backed Team Liquid54c122.38$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2934152.2%178 W · 163 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.