Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238d9df514c48bb95fd7fed75794c538539d0896661fb6c913559470ffe77c4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Team Liquid, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $480,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $537,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 62c | 160,435$99,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,965.3 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Heroic | 42c | 99,648$41,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,502.98 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Heroic | 38c | 92,339$35,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,159.17 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Liquid | 55c | 41,173$22,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,523.42 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Heroic | 42c | 26,701$11,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,341.32 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Heroic | 39c | 12,117$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.62 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Heroic | 44c | 11,990$5,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,275.44 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Heroic | 41c | 11,014$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567.19 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…7e61backed Team Liquid | 62c | 10,969$6,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,198.7 | 271 | 53.5%145 W · 126 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid | 61c | 6,459$3,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,501.07 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Team Liquid | 62c | 5,975$3,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,270.42 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Team Liquid | 62c | 5,935$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.74 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Team Liquid | 56c | 5,737$3,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…1c08backed Heroic | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Heroic | 37c | 5,000$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.99 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Heroic | 1c | 4,888$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 4,777$2,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.07 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Team Liquid | 62c | 4,648$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,766.13 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Liquid | 54c | 4,043$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.35 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf8…2f4abacked Heroic | 1c | 4,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Heroic | 37c | 4,000$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.98 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Team Liquid | 60c | 3,905$2,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.98 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d6…cab5backed Team Liquid | 80c | 3,717$2,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.08 | 513 | 64.9%333 W · 180 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Heroic | 52c | 3,655$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.85 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Heroic | 37c | 3,434$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.74 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Team Liquid | 59c | 3,323$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.61 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Liquid | 67c | 3,300$2,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.05 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Team Liquid | 56c | 2,808$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.43 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Team Liquid | 78c | 2,799$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.69 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Heroic | 27c | 2,737$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.87 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Liquid | 61c | 2,532$1,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.15 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,500$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Heroic | 1c | 2,485$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Heroic | 44c | 2,480$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.2 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic | 45c | 2,447$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.09 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 2,434$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.02 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Heroic | 29c | 2,286$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.98 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,151$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.15 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Liquid | 54c | 2,145$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.47 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Team Liquid | 53c | 2,123$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.35 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic | 38c | 2,078$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.2 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Liquid | 56c | 2,030$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.92 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,942$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.06 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 32c | 1,918$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.27 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,725$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,611$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.73 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Liquid | 57c | 1,594$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.08 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Liquid | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.26 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Liquid | 56c | 1,493$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.63 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Heroic | 34c | 1,492$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.13 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Team Liquid | 62c | 1,486$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.6 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,461$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.79 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Liquid | 57c | 1,416$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.35 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,407$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.54 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 36c | 1,396$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.58 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Heroic | 44c | 1,376$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.83 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 40c | 1,353$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.19 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,302$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.52 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Heroic | 38c | 1,260$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.64 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Heroic | 37c | 1,251$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.82 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Heroic | 37c | 1,247$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.88 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ff…a491backed Heroic | 37c | 1,195$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.13 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Heroic | 36c | 1,155$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.63 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked Heroic | 43c | 1,122$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.91 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Heroic | 37c | 1,116$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.75 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Heroic | 44c | 1,111$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.94 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Heroic | 26c | 1,079$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.58 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Heroic | 38c | 1,056$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.35 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Team Liquid | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Heroic | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Liquid | 62c | 977.2$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.34 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Heroic | 37c | 957.22$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.17 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Liquid | 50c | 942$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…dd1abacked Heroic | 45c | 899.99$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bf…6851backed Team Liquid | 54c | 899.98$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Heroic | 19c | 857.8$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 827.01$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.32 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a74…e456backed Heroic | 44c | 820.16$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Team Liquid | 64c | 785$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.12 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5808…d235backed Team Liquid | 59c | 755.46$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.61 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…2a26backed Team Liquid | 64c | 733.8$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.17 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic | 5c | 689.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.91 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…9531backed Heroic | 45c | 656.27$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Heroic | 27c | 628$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 24c | 602.15$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.65 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Liquid | 59c | 599.99$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Liquid | 50c | 582.47$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.48 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 576.47$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.05 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Heroic | 45c | 560.86$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.39 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Team Liquid | 55c | 535.15$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.82 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9617…bf1abacked Team Liquid | 60c | 531.92$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.77 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 18c | 526.26$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.05 | 899 | 38%342 W · 557 L | -45.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Liquid | 63c | 507.84$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Heroic | 8c | 500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Heroic | 19c | 499.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed Team Liquid | 62c | 472.84$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.68 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Heroic | 44c | 469.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.2 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…3538backed Heroic | 38c | 469.81$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Heroic - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.