MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96836556d020628108e9e535c29336adba2ada2910550d67010a1ff6608247c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof San Diego Padres, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $295,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $295,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x880b…90a8backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 47,206$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.08 | 111 | 38.7%43 W · 68 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 22,751$9,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,393.84 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres | 50c | 21,231$10,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,601.07 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 13,251$7,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,818.32 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 9,526$2,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,006.84 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 9,046$1,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552.89 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 5,833$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,499.54 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 12c | 5,450$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.87 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 5,017$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,995.64 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 4,843$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,857.56 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed San Diego Padres | 2c | 4,841$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.34 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 4,176$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.95 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,730$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.46 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked San Diego Padres | 18c | 3,584$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.84 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 3,394$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.33 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego Padres | 22c | 3,160$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 3,079$1,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.81 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Colorado Rockies | 73c | 2,491$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.75 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 2,333$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.35 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed San Diego Padres | 21c | 2,132$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.38 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb5…b009backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 2,009$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.31 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 1,558$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.58 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 1,526$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.7 | 138 | 18.8%26 W · 112 L | -17.2wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Colorado Rockies | 73c | 1,517$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.81 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,503$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.64 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 1,442$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.95 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 1,361$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.77 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked San Diego Padres | 56c | 1,235$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.88 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colorado Rockies | 76c | 1,201$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.06 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked San Diego Padres | 24c | 1,188$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.9 | 211 | 49.3%104 W · 107 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Colorado Rockies | 72c | 1,186$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.95 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 1,178$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.89 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 1,172$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.6 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed Colorado Rockies | 33c | 1,163$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.47 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 1,150$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.21 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb7…a0f1backed San Diego Padres | 64c | 1,149$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.73 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 63c | 1,139$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.58 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55d7…e99cbacked San Diego Padres | 15c | 1,080$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 1,012$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.71 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 999.99$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.99 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 50c | 995.5$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.09 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 979.25$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.55 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 976$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.6 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed San Diego Padres | 7c | 970.66$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ff…9d91backed San Diego Padres | 20c | 954.66$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.26 | 204 | 43.1%88 W · 116 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 887.09$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.82 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bc…0f85backed San Diego Padres | 55c | 886.93$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 826.61$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.7 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked San Diego Padres | 26c | 754.02$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.02 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 740.9$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.54 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 678.88$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.54 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres | 25c | 666$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9116…f76abacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 619.96$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.78 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fd…90c0backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 581.37$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.01 | 282 | 44.7%126 W · 156 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked San Diego Padres | 18c | 567.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.24 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 566.98$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.52 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…00abbacked San Diego Padres | 34c | 564.94$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…1d21backed San Diego Padres | 53c | 560.27$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 340 | 45%153 W · 187 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 558.09$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.52 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 535$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.65 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres | 19c | 512.93$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 507.52$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.51 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Colorado Rockies | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e7…b4a1backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed San Diego Padres | 60c | 488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 472.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 463.32$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.36 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed San Diego Padres | 24c | 459.21$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.41 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 449.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…1e89backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 430.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Colorado Rockies | 55c | 364.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.79 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked San Diego Padres | 63c | 354.91$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf3…101fbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 345.02$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.56 | 332 | 41.3%137 W · 195 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 69c | 344.26$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.66 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Colorado Rockies | 57c | 340.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.62 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed San Diego Padres | 58c | 317.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.43 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 310.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 310.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…7adebacked San Diego Padres | 59c | 310.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b8…d25fbacked San Diego Padres | 22c | 285.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…faeabacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 280.14$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.36 | 404 | 49.3%199 W · 205 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed San Diego Padres | 15c | 279.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…a35ebacked Colorado Rockies | 76c | 273.65$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed San Diego Padres | 28c | 272.16$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…c9f4backed San Diego Padres | 25c | 270.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…2dd7backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 260$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 1,277 | 43.1%550 W · 727 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Colorado Rockies | 60c | 258.82$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed San Diego Padres | 11c | 258.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.45 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc867…8b00backed Colorado Rockies | 77c | 256.87$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed San Diego Padres | 59c | 247.75$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.17 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked San Diego Padres | 60c | 244$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 243.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.27 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0a…75acbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 237.63$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.26 | 465 | 46%214 W · 251 L | -17.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Colorado Rockies | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Colorado Rockies | 41c | 234.41$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 231.9$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Colorado Rockies | 66c | 230.07$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.22 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…ce27backed Colorado Rockies | 40c | 230$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Colorado Rockies | 42c | 229.26$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.97 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 227.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.34 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.