MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc68ee5a643e6de2ceab4b9c2b75537b273d8ff0da0ab6c2c6f9d58d718a50df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Under | 54c | 11,318$6,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,162.23 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 46c | 5,183$2,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,383.97 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 2,077$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.43 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…672abacked Over | 45c | 1,788$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.04 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 45c | 1,667$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 45c | 1,226$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.69 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Under | 50c | 1,158$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.27 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 55c | 1,079$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.3 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Over | 45c | 1,002$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.27 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 54c | 628.28$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Over | 44c | 500.69$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.57 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed Over | 46c | 455.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…96cbbacked Over | 46c | 455.1$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.35 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 54c | 421.59$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.96 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…c803backed Over | 48c | 401.46$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Over | 46c | 375$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 54c | 363.54$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.8 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 45c | 300$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 291.17$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 45c | 285.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 62c | 256.09$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 52c | 233.83$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.28 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 54c | 220$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 55c | 212.29$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.53 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 212.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.05 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 200.58$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.29 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…56d1backed Under | 54c | 198.91$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 60c | 131.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Under | 52c | 115.98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Over | 46c | 109.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.3 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under | 54c | 108.04$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Over | 47c | 103.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 46c | 93.92$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f42…8680backed Under | 53c | 90.33$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3290…9389backed Under | 51c | 85.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Under | 54c | 81.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Under | 53c | 75.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…cddbbacked Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 51c | 69.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Under | 53c | 62.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 133 | 51.9%69 W · 64 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 53.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 34c | 52.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 64c | 44.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.94 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8743…9591backed Over | 38c | 44.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…493bbacked Over | 47c | 43.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 57c | 43.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…30f1backed Under | 54c | 43.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Over | 48c | 40.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 52c | 39.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 61c | 36.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9487backed Over | 39c | 34.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 270 | 53.7%145 W · 125 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 61c | 33.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 60c | 32.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Under | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 54c | 25.21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 44c | 24.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 23.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 106 | 49.1%52 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Over | 50c | 20.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 202 | 58.4%118 W · 84 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32eb…f531backed Under | 63c | 19.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.