MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1101c8a7b9d88c3a08b9cfaf516e052cdaa891be8e28aac633678a47970d3128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,081
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $352,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,081 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Under | 49c | 333,689$161,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171,774.48 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Over | 52c | 119,118$61,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,350.18 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 86,668$44,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,197.58 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 54c | 32,089$17,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,328.17 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 15,782$8,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,041.73 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aba…4961backed Over | 51c | 15,097$7,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.32 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 51c | 12,108$6,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,175.13 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 51c | 9,706$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,950.06 | 147 | 24.5%36 W · 111 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Over | 51c | 8,397$4,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,282.23 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,080 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 5,130$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.19 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 47c | 4,078$1,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.43 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 51c | 3,093$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.25 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 53c | 2,927$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.41 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 52c | 2,905$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.53 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 51c | 2,402$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.11 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 30c | 1,895$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.88 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 53c | 1,768$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.14 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 53c | 1,700$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 52c | 1,142$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.23 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 51c | 1,142$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.36 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 51c | 1,048$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.37 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Over | 51c | 970.6$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.01 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed Under | 53c | 925.16$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.41 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 47c | 919.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.59 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 907.51$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.83 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Over | 51c | 818.63$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.5 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 52c | 770.25$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.34 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Over | 54c | 642.92$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.69 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 482.44$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.21 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…4a6ebacked Over | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 378.17$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.87 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 66c | 299.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 49c | 298.7$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.34 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked Under | 39c | 215.56$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 52c | 192.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 52c | 190.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x210d…a04bbacked Over | 51c | 190.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…36c6backed Over | 51c | 190.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 45c | 163.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.88 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…4c76backed Over | 51c | 160.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…ba10backed Over | 25c | 153.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked Over | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 51c | 142.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 52c | 140.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 163 | 53.4%87 W · 76 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 52c | 135.61$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.52 | 200 | 44.5%89 W · 111 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Over | 51c | 126.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 247 | 48.2%119 W · 128 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 56c | 117.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Over | 51c | 117.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 51c | 112.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.54 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 45c | 108.3$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 62c | 95.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14f…fa29backed Over | 52c | 95.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…76ccbacked Over | 47c | 92.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 51c | 89.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.42 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 53c | 82.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 51c | 76.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 47c | 74.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 36c | 74.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Over | 54c | 73.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Over | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Over | 50c | 70.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 51c | 67.39$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…6c9fbacked Under | 59c | 65.72$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Under | 45c | 59.18$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 61c | 50.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.54 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 40c | 50.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…b182backed Under | 39c | 50.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Over | 42c | 49.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…f504backed Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cc…3132backed Under | 46c | 47.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 51c | 46.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7de…4a98backed Over | 51c | 45.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a14…cab1backed Over | 37c | 43.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 45c | 42.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…a613backed Under | 50c | 42.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…a863backed Under | 44c | 41.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Over | 46c | 39.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…0da3backed Over | 50c | 39.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 54c | 36.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…cba6backed Over | 51c | 35.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba8…5d91backed Over | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 226 | 50.4%114 W · 112 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…bb8cbacked Under | 47c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 30.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 57c | 30.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 51c | 29.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Over | 52c | 29.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3711…7339backed Over | 52c | 28.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d8…85f8backed Over | 54c | 27.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7832…9384backed Over | 55c | 26.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 49c | 25.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf230…66cdbacked Under | 58c | 24.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 14.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.