TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x230f…bb8c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
122
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-24.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.75
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
1H Spread: Pistons (-6.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$41.84
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.8
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.76
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.77
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.64
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.08
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.18
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$26.22
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.12
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$43.68
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.08
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$30.16
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+59%+$6.31
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Aleksandar Vukic vs Patrick Kypsonbacked Patrick Kypson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.5
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.53
Wuxi: Mark Lajal vs Mikhail Kukushkinbacked Mark Lajal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$11
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.38
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.04
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+62.5%+$10.89
Gwangju: Dane Sweeny vs James McCabebacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.95
Gwangju: Mark Lajal vs Yu-Hsiou Hsubacked Yu-Hsiou Hsu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.26
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Shymkent: Ivan Gakhov vs Jelle Selsbacked Ivan Gakhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Shymkent: Sandro Kopp vs Sergey Fominbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Gwangju: Yu-Hsiou Hsu vs Murphy Cassonebacked Murphy Cassone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Wuning: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Omar Jasikabacked Buvaysar Gadamauri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$6.97
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$18
San Luis Potosi: Juan Pablo Ficovich vs Mateus Cardoso Alvesbacked Mateus Cardoso Alves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Mackenzie McDonald vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.33
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Alex Bolt vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.34
Sao Leopoldo: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Valerio Aboianbacked Gonzalo Villanueva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.54
Bucharest Open, Qualification: Billy Harris vs Alex Molcanbacked Alex Molcan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.1
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Ana Sofia Sanchez vs Gabriela Cebacked Ana Sofia Sanchez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.28
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick55cpaid+49.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs Oh My God (+1.5)backed Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.65
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.25
LoL: Ultra Prime vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$7.74
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.55
LoL: LOUD vs RED Canids - Game 1 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.7
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-61.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Cricket — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$15.38
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$34.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Alice Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$24.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FC Heidenheim 1846: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Lecce vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$12.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$2.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 30 above $295?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.