Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd600103ad71271aad47e2ec33e4d3836949f645337c54795af1ed960797ed229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf65…9194backed Under | 48c | 28,290$13,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,654.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Over | 51c | 22,000$11,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,219.99 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,299.99 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Over | 52c | 8,208$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268.42 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 49c | 3,822$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.45 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de2…7568backed Over | 51c | 3,489$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.37 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 49c | 1,917$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.92 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcf…056bbacked Under | 47c | 1,171$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.39 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed Under | 47c | 1,085$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.24 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Under | 49c | 989.19$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Under | 49c | 959.1$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.14 | 188 | 29.8%56 W · 132 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Under | 49c | 904.83$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.46 | 293 | 38.6%113 W · 180 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Over | 52c | 797.36$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.62 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 54c | 700$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 48c | 698.95$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.85 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Under | 49c | 598.55$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.26 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed Under | 49c | 508.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.57 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6f…3be7backed Under | 48c | 499.85$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.7 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Under | 48c | 487.21$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.35 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Under | 46c | 422.51$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.64 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Under | 48c | 405.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.24 | 164 | 52.4%86 W · 78 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 49c | 254.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Under | 47c | 210.82$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.73 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…518dbacked Over | 51c | 154.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 38cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Under | 47c | 139.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.66 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Over | 52c | 135.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Under | 49c | 98.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…98dbbacked Under | 49c | 92.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.42 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x872c…40e0backed Over | 52c | 84.01$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…8a75backed Over | 54c | 75.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 43c | 68.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 49c | 63.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Under | 49c | 62.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…88ccbacked Under | 43c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed Under | 49c | 49.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0744…22d5backed Under | 47c | 37.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8023backed Over | 52c | 32.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -5.8wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…a0c8backed Over | 66c | 25.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x230f…bb8cbacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?this page
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.