Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52cc552d0c4994e4cdf3f08c0aa1e62fc0bb403ae0709d870dc561368634f9ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0de2…7568backed Over | 51c | 4,982$2,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.98 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Under | 49c | 1,917$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.57 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Under | 49c | 1,624$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.85 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 1,182$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…7653backed Under | 53c | 804.33$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Under | 32c | 322.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Under | 51c | 99.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over | 65c | 93$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.67 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Over | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 64c | 64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Over | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 49c | 24.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Over | 64c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 150 | 17.3%26 W · 124 L | -26.8wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.