Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d3c7e9550403d247a0627aedeeb3317b2e04d7d59c58298a4a075be37fe681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Vitalityof Movistar KOI, Team Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Team Vitality | 77c | 1,427$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.9 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Movistar KOI | 22c | 1,246$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.63 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Movistar KOI | 3c | 911.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Movistar KOI | 36c | 777$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team Vitality | 64c | 773.37$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.68 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Team Vitality | 66c | 592.37$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.49 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Movistar KOI | 34c | 502.89$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.98 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Movistar KOI | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9cb…bdcdbacked Team Vitality | 66c | 379.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 206 | 49%101 W · 105 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…ec2ebacked Team Vitality | 64c | 371.92$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.89 | 511 | 60.3%308 W · 203 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdd…b1a1backed Movistar KOI | 36c | 338.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Movistar KOI | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 292 | 40.1%117 W · 175 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Movistar KOI | 33c | 298.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 196 | 48%94 W · 102 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Movistar KOI | 32c | 141.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.14 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Movistar KOI | 34c | 96.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Team Vitality | 66c | 89.05$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.28 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Team Vitality | 63c | 56.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 636 | 46.9%298 W · 338 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e41…f180backed Team Vitality | 67c | 56.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1f…f804backed Movistar KOI | 37c | 52.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Movistar KOI | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a54…6901backed Movistar KOI | 34c | 42.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Team Vitality | 63c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 182 | 63.7%116 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.