Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe84026d1a8db0b01674a12698f5305aa16502e05a7d2186ca692c51f03323978
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Over | 44c | 14,549$6,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,147.35 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 56c | 9,992$5,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,593.41 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de2…7568backed Under | 56c | 5,669$3,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 44c | 1,754$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.51 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…5a35backed Under | 56c | 956.51$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.65 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…ee87backed Over | 53c | 511.68$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.9 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c8…86b4backed Under | 56c | 486.8$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.61 | 191 | 57.1%109 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 44c | 439.71$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.24 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Over | 50c | 407.77$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.08 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 52c | 255.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 57c | 209.29$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 54c | 204.92$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.36 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Under | 46c | 193.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Over | 43c | 111.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 579 | 45.9%266 W · 313 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Under | 56c | 104.29$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 415 | 44.6%185 W · 230 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 44c | 97$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.32 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Over | 48c | 94.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 211 | 40.8%86 W · 125 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 88.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Over | 44c | 87.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…c9dcbacked Over | 53c | 73.43$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Under | 54c | 70.15$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Under | 57c | 68.79$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 411 | 56.7%233 W · 178 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 54c | 65.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 56c | 64.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.37 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed Over | 46c | 63.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.08 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 78c | 61.83$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 48c | 61.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Over | 52c | 59.77$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.55 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 56c | 48.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf8…2094backed Over | 44c | 42.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6654…5952backed Over | 45c | 37.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked Over | 44c | 31.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 56c | 31.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 47c | 27.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Under | 50c | 22.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…f0cfbacked Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 57c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)Team Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 WinnerTeam Vitality won
- LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 WinnerMovistar KOI won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.