TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbaa1…71a1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$467Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$466.55
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #1 Playoffsbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.1
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs paiN Academy - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.96
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.7
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.72
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs MANA eSports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked MANA eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.66
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.72
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.63
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$23.68
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Favbet (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+115.6%+$55.95
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs GenOne (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$24.6
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+124.2%+$139.91
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs Metizport (BO5) - European Pro League Series 6 Playoffsbacked Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$95.06
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.08
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.43
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$152.64
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+198.7%+$224.33
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.6
Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs Players (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffsbacked Players · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.39
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO5) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo Playoffsbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.34
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+142.5%+$24.02
All 24 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+61.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+183.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$30.92
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$23.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$84.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group Bbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.