MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50621c14357335a102fb99f0d8d9898ec31c4e2aa7820cee93042d060caa2972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $252,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8bab…d304backed Over | 43c | 131,403$56,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,983.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Under | 58c | 60,725$35,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,214.41 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Under | 57c | 60,000$34,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,199.99 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Under | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,500 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,800 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 7,283$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Under | 55c | 5,500$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.97 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 43c | 3,622$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.4 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 46c | 3,095$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,676.39 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 42c | 2,178$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.54 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 1,805$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.2 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 57c | 1,805$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.2 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 57c | 1,726$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.26 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 1,538$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.28 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 1,258$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.89 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 1,003$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.95 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bca…0d11backed Over | 45c | 972.31$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 44c | 870.65$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.6 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 57c | 800.18$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.6 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 57c | 735.52$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.25 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 58c | 573.55$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.55 | 142 | 35.9%51 W · 91 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.49 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 56c | 531.96$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.9 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…c0debacked Over | 44c | 523.79$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.32 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Over | 43c | 490$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.3 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 56c | 451.82$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.02 | 307 | 50.2%154 W · 153 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 45c | 429.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.38 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 57c | 400.84$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 386.36$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.51 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x157c…3657backed Under | 59c | 370.65$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 367.12$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.96 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf879…820ebacked Under | 59c | 297.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 284.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.15 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 57c | 278.35$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.68 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 57c | 257.2$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.29 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 53c | 244.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3548…14dabacked Over | 42c | 236.66$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 64c | 232.63$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.57 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Over | 43c | 224.66$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.08 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 249 | 50.6%126 W · 123 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd9…4d7fbacked Over | 43c | 224.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…6a33backed Over | 44c | 223.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.22 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 54c | 215.31$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.27 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 44c | 212.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.22 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 58c | 210.09$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.85 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 54c | 200.09$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.74 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 46c | 198.28$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Under | 57c | 190.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 57c | 186.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.43 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Under | 57c | 185.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.44 | 183 | 45.4%83 W · 100 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Over | 42c | 183.85$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.63 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492d…2f04backed Over | 43c | 179.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 12c | 169.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 56c | 150.46$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.26 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 50c | 148.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 55c | 126.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…08f3backed Under | 55c | 126.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.77 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 45c | 123.66$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Under | 55c | 122.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 55c | 121.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Over | 43c | 112.3$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.01 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b2…2e80backed Under | 37c | 103.72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…6c47backed Over | 47c | 91.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 43c | 91.02$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 55c | 90.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 56c | 86.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 383 | 52.2%200 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 58c | 83.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 55c | 77.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 59c | 74.79$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 42c | 70.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ece…068abacked Under | 58c | 68.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.93 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 45c | 59.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed Under | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Over | 45c | 55.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 42c | 55.02$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 59c | 54.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 51.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Over | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +15.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 44c | 48.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 50c | 47.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 42c | 45.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under | 55c | 41.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 43c | 40.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 58c | 38.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 56c | 38.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x921f…263cbacked Over | 70c | 37.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Under | 55c | 36.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Under | 57c | 36.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 37c | 35.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa1…71a1backed Over | 33c | 35.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +183.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Under | 56c | 34.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington NationalsLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Washington Nationals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.