TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3548…14da

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
17

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Red Wings vs. Penguinsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.27
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$87.23
Islanders vs. Sabresbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.11
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59.02
Canucks vs. Flamesbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Flyers vs. Red Wingsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$32.73
Oilers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.68
Devils vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.18
Penguins vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
Wild vs. Panthersbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.28
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.05
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.98
Ducks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.99
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.38
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.17
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Senators vs. Rangersbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$251Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$147.6
Avalanche vs. Capitals: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.11
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Panthers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
Islanders vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.65
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2025%5 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.07
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.7
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$64.87
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$197.13
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 166.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Will Gonzaga win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$30.19
Texas Longhorns vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.85
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.82
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Missouri Tigers vs. Miami Hurricanesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.04
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked UCF Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.77
Will Miami (OH) win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Hofstra win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
LIU Sharks vs. Arizona Wildcats: O/U 150.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$10.07
Will BYU win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will South Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
BYU Cougars vs. Houston Cougarsbacked BYU Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.86
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.22
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Lakers vs. Rockets backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$118.92
Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.69
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.01
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$8.97
Raptors vs. Clippersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.42
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.82
Wizards vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.92
Thunder vs. Celticsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.26
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.54
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$61.51
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Warriors vs. Mavericksbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$98.71
Lakers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$51.66
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-64.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.64
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.67
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.46
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.57
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.1
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.67
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.06
Will France win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.49
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.73
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+40.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Watford FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.94
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.62
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.97
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.46
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.82
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$236.62
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$22.33
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$24.02
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$23.27
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.97
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grand Prix Hassan II: Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gastonbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.13
Miyazaki: Carl Overbeck vs Ognjen Milicbacked Ognjen Milic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$77.04
Credit One Charleston Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Donna Vekicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.65
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Laura Pigossi vs Katarina Zavatskabacked Laura Pigossi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Alicante: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Vilius Gaubas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.86
Yokkaichi: Li Tu vs Rio Noguchibacked Rio Noguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$42.67
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Christopher Libacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.36
Bucaramanga: Franco Roncadelli vs Samuel Herediabacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$6.32
Sao Paulo: Gustavo Heide vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Gustavo Heide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.42
Miami Open: Dalma Galfi vs Elvina Kalievabacked Elvina Kalieva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$115.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick61cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid+61.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-74%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Austin FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+205.9%+$26.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-04-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+55%+$53.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.21
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$481.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Valenciabacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.